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Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007

post #1 of 41
Thread Starter 
The Senate report on global warming just hit, it is quite a bit of a read if you actually care about the subject. I'm not even 10% into it yet and it will probably take me the holiday to parse through it in its entirety. I've thrown a few relevant parts of the article, I encourage everyone to read the links.

Source

Quote:
This blockbuster Senate report lists the scientists by name, country of residence, and academic/institutional affiliation. It also features their own words, biographies, and weblinks to their peer reviewed studies and original source materials as gathered from public statements, various news outlets, and websites in 2007. This new “consensus busters” report is poised to redefine the debate.


Many of the scientists featured in this report consistently stated that numerous colleagues shared their views, but they will not speak out publicly for fear of retribution. Atmospheric scientist Dr. Nathan Paldor, Professor of Dynamical Meteorology and Physical Oceanography at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, author of almost 70 peer-reviewed studies, explains how many of his fellow scientists have been intimidated.
This right here is the biggest part of the article, they list the scientists, their country, biography and their peer reviews. This is the type of stuff people need to look at when they read global warming articles and studies.


Quote:
Background: Only 52 Scientists Participated in UN IPCC Summary

The over 400 skeptical scientists featured in this new report outnumber by nearly eight times the number of scientists who participated in the 2007 UN IPCC Summary for Policymakers. The notion of “hundreds” or “thousands” of UN scientists agreeing to a scientific statement does not hold up to scrutiny. (See report debunking “consensus” LINK) Recent research by Australian climate data analyst Dr. John McLean revealed that the IPCC’s peer-review process for the Summary for Policymakers leaves much to be desired. (LINK)

Proponents of man-made global warming like to note how the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) and the American Meteorological Society (AMS) have issued statements endorsing the so-called "consensus" view that man is driving global warming. But both the NAS and AMS never allowed member scientists to directly vote on these climate statements. Essentially, only two dozen or so members on the governing boards of these institutions produced the "consensus" statements. This report gives a voice to the rank-and-file scientists who were shut out of the process. (LINK)

The most recent attempt to imply there was an overwhelming scientific “consensus” in favor of man-made global warming fears came in December 2007 during the UN climate conference in Bali. A letter signed by only 215 scientists urged the UN to mandate deep cuts in carbon dioxide emissions by 2050. But absent from the letter were the signatures of these alleged “thousands” of scientists. (See AP article: - LINK )
Everyone is of a consensus that global warming exists, the real debate is man-made vs. natural occurance. I'm in the camp of it being a natural cycle of the earth and there is nothing we can do about it. We have a finite amount of recources on the planet (financial) and it doesn't make a lot of sense to put all our eggs in a basket to fix something that cannot be fixed, instead try to combat world hunger, AIDS epedemic, purifying water, build better leevies and dam's to combat the slight rise in sea levels.

Here's a good book to read Cool It
Quote:
All Bjørn is saying is that we're doing a heck of a job ignoring our current catastrophes. Anyone remember the Katrina victims? Anyone remember that AIDS hasn't been cured yet? You might want to just sit back, take a breath, and get your priorities in a row.

Before you go and save some lives from the year 2100, you might want to look around and save a few here in 2007. This is like people from 1907 trying to help us with breast cancer. No one knew what a gene was in 1907! I'm sure that the people of 2100 will have both the technology and the smarts to come up with something better than anything we could do.
post #2 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke
I'm in the camp of it being a natural cycle of the earth and there is nothing we can do about it.
That would be Camp Wrongyfenongy. Don't drink the well water.
post #3 of 41
The article was posted by Marc Morano.

From Sourcewatch
Quote:
Marc Morano is communications director for the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works. Morano commenced work with the committee under Senator James Inhofe, who was majority chairman of the committee until January 2007. In December 2006 Morano launched a blog on the committee's website that largely promotes the views of climate change sceptics.

Morano is a former journalist with Cybercast News Service (owned by the conservative Media Research Center). CNS and Morano were the first source in May 2004 of the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth claims against John Kerry in the 2004 presidential election and in January 2006 of similar smears against Vietnam war veteran John Murtha.

Morano was "previously known as Rush Limbaugh's 'Man in Washington,' as reporter and producer for the Rush Limbaugh Television Show, as well as a former correspondent and producer for American Investigator, the nationally syndicated TV newsmagazine."
So this is completely unbiased, is that what you're saying...
post #4 of 41
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by harrybeanbag
I don't get how people think that humans burning tons of fossil fuel and releasing its byproducts into the atmosphere over a prolonged period of time would have no effect on the climate.
So, I've noticed you saying you're in college at the moment, are you going for a degree in meteorology or oceanography? If not, then perhaps you should yield to people who are more qualified than you to asses why the amount of byproducts released into the atmosphere over a short period of time(compared to how old the earth is) has little to no effect on the environment.

I'll also note, the CREDIBLE scientists(the number is less then a handful) that are backing man-made global warming are not releasing their data for peer-review. This is critical information they are withholding in preventing other CREDIBLE scientists in agreeing with them that global warming is man-made. You see, many scientists believe that the reason they aren't releasing this data is because it is missing key climate data from the 14th century, without this data any model you run will show us in a warming period (when, in fact we aren't, we are however due for a warming period).

Really, you should just read the article and follow the links. I don't care who it was compiled by, if the scientists check out as experts in their field and their data is open for peer review and published it is good. I am not finished reading the entire thing, nor will I be for several days so I cannot say how credible it is at this point but the above paragraph is indeed, accurate information compiled from sources not of this article.

edit -

Need to clarify something

without this data any model you run will show us in a warming period (when, in fact we aren't, we are however due for a warming period).

what it should say

without this data any model you run will show us in a much higher warming period (e.g. +8 degree's worldwide temperature) when infact we aren't in a warming period at this time and when we are due for one (soon, not next year but before a newborn graduates college) we will only reach a point of about +4 degree's increase in worldwide temperature.
post #5 of 41
I don't get how people think there is a concerted effort on the part of scientists and the media to suppress anti-global warming information. Even if you're into conspiracy theories, the dispute over global warming gives you 2 options: the environmental movement concocted warming as a scam, or the energy companies have engaged in a campaign to discredit findings that threaten their bottom lines.

Scenario 1: The Environmentalists did it.


Culprits: Hippies, anti-corporationists, and assorted tree-huggers. Al Gore.

Motive: To keep the planet clean and maybe stick it to "the Man" in the process.

Resources: They're mostly hippies, so they probably only have about 1.6 shoes per person, and aren't very good at large scale organization and public relations. Probably have a few wealthy individual donors on their side, and a sympathetic media run by the liberal elite.

Methods: Bold. Wholesale fabrication of one of the biggest and most problematic lies conceivable; that the basis for modern living and industry is destroying the world. I suppose the bigger the lie, the easier to swallow, etc.

Scenario 2: Energy Companies are Stonewalling Research Harmful to Them

Culprits: The biggest, wealthiest, and most influential organizations in the world.

Motive: Cash Rules Everything Around Me. Get the Money. Dolla Dolla Bill Y'all. To whit: billions upon billions upon billions of profits.

Resources: Well developed systems of public relations experts, lobbyists, and company researchers. A sympathetic media increasingly controlled by the parent companies of the threatened businesses. Also, about half the money in the world, give or take about a trillion bucks.

Methods: Practical. Disinformation designed to sow doubt about claims that nobody wants to be true anyway, and maintain the status quo. Pay experts to disagree over minutia to keep the focus off alternatives to their bread and butter.

Now, motive, opportunity, and a crime do not equal guilt. But there's a lot more smoke on one side. To think that global warming (or man's responsibility for it) is a scam asks me to believe that ideology is as capable of driving a conspiracy as greed and self-preservation, and that the most powerful organizations in the world have been rail-roaded by a bunch of fanatics with diabolical schemes to clear the skies, and that they successfully perpetrated the grandest lie in history as opposed to the other side stalling by offering up excuses not to overhaul the entire world order.

Basically, if you think Greenpeace has more pull with the government and media than Exxon, I think you're a huge fucking idiot.
post #6 of 41
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Schwartz
I don't get how people think there is a concerted effort on the part of scientists and the media to suppress anti-global warming information.
Actually, there are several reasoning's behind this. It is incredibly hard to find oil and strike it rich at the moment. So the next new big thing is new energy sources. Who do you think funds these new endeavors? Take a look into the portfolios of people like Al Gore and see what type of companies they run. It is all about empire building. They want to be the next Rockefeller.

Let's also look at the global carbon tax on each country based upon how much carbon they emit. Let's use a simple number $100 per ton, say that increases the cost to the oil companies to about a dollar per gallon of gasoline, do you think they're going to just eat that cost and accept it? No, they'll pass that tax on to the consumer and who will be affected by this? The rich? the stockholders of oil companies? no, average people who work average jobs. Can you as an individual afford to pay another dollar per gallon, a raise in natural gas prices by about 60-150% and electricity by double the current KWh? Let's also take into account the fact that the companies that are now being taxed the extra 'carbon tax' decide that they are now going to move to a country that has to pay lesser carbon tax, this will take away jobs from the economy, tax revenue to the government etc.. etc.. etc.. This isn't a conspiracy, this is called economics. If you doubt companies will do this, take a look at Haliburton, where is their corporate headquarters based?

Also, do you think China will participate in any of this?
post #7 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke
I'll also note, the CREDIBLE scientists(the number is less then a handful) that are backing man-made global warming are not releasing their data for peer-review.
Oh, pfft. Less than a handful? And they're hiding information like they're Opus Dei?
post #8 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
I am indifferent to this issue. As I am not a polar bear, or a scientist, or a politician, this isn't my game. If none of you are any of those things, you also should be indifferent to this issue. I doubt anyone posting here, on either side, is able to intelligently discuss it, just as I doubt any of the talking heads on TV, on either side, are able to intelligently discuss it. Some things are outside your ken, and admitting it is a sign of wisdom.
That's the stupidest thing I have ever heard.

Enjoy living life with your head stuck in the sand.
post #9 of 41
Oop, only 11 posts in and we've got the China excuse. I guess that the one folks are sticking to then?
post #10 of 41
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by harrybeanbag
Haha, awesome. So I guess I should hold back my opinions on film too, since I'm not a director. I'll probably go ahead and shut my trap about music, too, since I'm not a musician. And I'll withhold judgment on crappy books since I'm not a public author. Might as well not say anything about politics, since I'm not a politician, and I can't bitch about potholes in the road and 'why in the hell is there not a stop sign there', because I'm not an urban planner.

I'll yield to those that I don't suspect are suckling on the corporate teat, thanks. Because, you know, us libtards secretly desire for global warming to be real so that we can win this whole ideological dickmeasuring contest.

Give me a fucking break.
I am sure when you watch a movie, listen to a song or read a book you gather some information from it before commenting on it, this would be one of those things critical in forming an opinion. You however, did not come back with information about global warming to support your opinion.

Also, if you claim yourself to be a libtard, shouldn't you be FOR saving the homeless? Getting health insurance to people? Feeding the hungry? These are all libtard beliefs, that and taxing the rich. The idea of man-made global warming is all about making the rich richer, while squashing the people who need the money, if anything libtards should be on the natural-cycle of the earth side of the debate.
post #11 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke
Here's a good book to read Cool It
Didn't Bjorn Lomborg have his — economics — degree revoked? He can entertain Micheal Chrichton, and the rest of the credentials-for-hire with his quackery, or whatever vested-interest suiting nonsense that gets his untalented "research" published.
post #12 of 41
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Adam Warren
Didn't Bjorn Lomborg have his — economics — degree revoked? He can entertain Micheal Chrichton, and the rest of the credentials-for-hire with his quackery, or whatever vested-interest suiting nonsense that gets his untalented "research" published.
Actually the book is comprised almost entirely of excerpts from experts, scientists and the IPCC. He just kind of gives laymans terms to the scientific mumbo-jumbo for the average reader.
post #13 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
I am indifferent to this issue.
Try moving to North Korea, where the convience of a dictatorship behooves having an informed opinion on any issue, and the complex obligations of democratic citizenship are merely the burdens of others.
post #14 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke
Also, if you claim yourself to be a libtard, shouldn't you be FOR saving the homeless? Getting health insurance to people? Feeding the hungry? These are all libtard beliefs, that and taxing the rich. The idea of man-made global warming is all about making the rich richer, while squashing the people who need the money, if anything libtards should be on the natural-cycle of the earth side of the debate.
...what?! Ow, my brain!
post #15 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke
Actually the book is comprised almost entirely of excerpts from experts, scientists and the IPCC. He just kind of gives laymans terms to the scientific mumbo-jumbo for the average reader.
I've perused The Skeptical Environmnentalist. I'm not sure Lomborg is capable of compiling a credible list of anything. He's a niche feeder. He feeds niches. His niche is a certain segment of the population wishes to believe the environment is unaffected by human activity, or at least that the affects are not substantial — others niches include behavioralism, genetic determinism, creationism, marxism, historicism, and all manner of nonsense stemming from the fields of sociology, economics and psychology.

Lomborg merely compiles ideas that suit the viewpoing of his niche, and thus sell books. The guy doesn't so much argue as pander.
post #16 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke
Also, if you claim yourself to be a libtard, shouldn't you be FOR saving the homeless? Getting health insurance to people? Feeding the hungry? These are all libtard beliefs, that and taxing the rich. The idea of man-made global warming is all about making the rich richer, while squashing the people who need the money, if anything libtards should be on the natural-cycle of the earth side of the debate.
I see that you a crank. Never mind.
post #17 of 41
Inhofe, the great debunker, the man who believes the Weather Channel is behind the vast global-warming conspiracy (check it) is doing some heavy cherry-picking to support his argument here.

Quote:
Originally Posted by James Inhofe
The number of skeptics at first glance may appear smaller, but the skeptics are increasingly becoming vocal and turning the tables on the Goliath that has become the global warming fear industry.
"The number of skeptics may, at first glance, appear smaller, but if you hit yourself over the head a few times, their number magically becomes larger."

Quote:
In August 2007, a comprehensive survey of peer-reviewed scientific literature from 2004-2007 revealed "Less Than Half of all Published Scientists Endorse Global Warming Theory."

"Of 539 total papers on climate change, only 38 (7%) gave an explicit endorsement of the consensus. If one considers 'implicit' endorsement (accepting the consensus without explicit statement), the figure rises to 45%. However, while only 32 papers (6%) reject the consensus outright, the largest category (48%) are neutral papers, refusing to either accept or reject the hypothesis. This is no 'consensus,'" according to an August 29, 2007 article in Daily Tech.
Am I missing something here? He randomly grabbed a bunch of scientific papers, and if they didn't explicitly say "Man-made global warming is real!" he counted them against the consensus?

As for the major claim here, that the IPCC is viciously editing down the comments of the people who reviewed the man-made global warming paper, try checking here and here. That took me like five minutes of Googling, by the way.
post #18 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
I am indifferent to this issue. As I am not a polar bear, or a scientist, or a politician, this isn't my game. If none of you are any of those things, you also should be indifferent to this issue.
Nonsense. It's stupid to poo where you live. We all have a vested interest in maintaining the ecological status quo.

Quote:
I doubt anyone posting here, on either side, is able to intelligently discuss it, just as I doubt any of the talking heads on TV, on either side, are able to intelligently discuss it.
I agree. I'm an engineer, not a climatologist. But I can read, and I understand the scientific method, and I have critical thinking skills, and I pay attention to current events. Now whom shall I believe? The anonymously peer reviewed scientific articles written by people who would be risking their professional reputations as well as their careers were they to falsify results, or the office of non-climatologist and shill James Inhofe, who once claimed global warming was a hoax perpetrated by the Weather Network to boost ratings and whose career does not rest on his credibility or integrity?

Quote:
Some things are outside your ken, and admitting it is a sign of wisdom.
I agree that I am wise for recognizing I'm no expert in this matter (among other reasons), but I'm not a cosmologist either; does that mean I should give serious thought to the claims of creationists? I'm not even interested in what Inhofe's report says. If it's from Inhofe's office, then it's a distortion of the way things really are.
post #19 of 41
But since I'm a masochist:

Quote:
"Of 539 total papers on climate change, only 38 (7%) gave an explicit endorsement of the consensus. If one considers 'implicit' endorsement (accepting the consensus without explicit statement), the figure rises to 45%. However, while only 32 papers (6%) reject the consensus outright, the largest category (48%) are neutral papers, refusing to either accept or reject the hypothesis. This is no 'consensus,'" according to an August 29, 2007 article in Daily Tech.
My first thought was "How many of those papers actually dealt with the matter of anthropogenic causes one way or the other?" Lots of papers on climate change address some facet of the analysis or discuss a particular model, or something. Not every paper published on astronomy explicitly says the universe began 14 billion years ago either.

I don't know this is what they're doing, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if this is how the authors of Inhofe's assgasket of a report are presenting their case. Intellectual integrity is not Inhofe's strong suit.
post #20 of 41
I don't know whether God exists. Neither do you. Therefore, neither of us should have an opinion on the matter. And anyone who does is a poseur.
post #21 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seabass Inna Bun
It's stupid to poo where you live.
That's nothing. Snaieke poos where he talks.
post #22 of 41
This is such a load of $#!&. Fifty years ago doctors were lining up to tell you that smoking was good for you while the tobacco companies buried their research showing just the opposite.

"One of the most serious consequences of our actions is global warming brought about by raising levels of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels. The danger is that the temperature increase might become self sustaining if it has not done so already. Drought and deforestation are reducing the amount of carbon dioxide recycled into the atmosphere and the warming of the seas may trigger the release of large quantities of CO2 trapped on the ocean floor. In addition, the melting of the Artic and Antarctic ice sheets will reduce the amount of solar energy reflected back into space and so increase the temperature further. We don’t know where the global warming will stop, but the worst case scenario is that earth would become like its sister planet, Venus, with a temperature of 250 centigrade, and raining sulfuric acid. The human race could not survive in those conditions."

-- Stephen Hawking

"The earth has a natural greenhouse effect. In fact, we’re about 60 degrees Fahrenheit warmer, thanks to those good guys -- water vapor and carbon dioxide and methane, what we call greenhouse gases -- trapping heat. That’s the good part of the story. The problem is that humans are competing with nature in that when we use our tail pipes and our smoke stacks to put our waste into the atmosphere as if it’s some kind of unpriced sewer, we’re adding -- to that amount of greenhouse gases that’s natural -- unnatural stuff. Mostly more carbon dioxide, methane, chemicals that nobody’s ever seen before, chlorofluorocarbons which also effect ozone. And when they build up, they trap extra heat."

-- Stephen H. Schneider, professor and senior fellow at the Center for Environment Science and Policy of the Institute for International Studies, and professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford University.

"Seventy countries in the world no longer have any intact or original forests. And here in the United States, ninety five percent of our old growth forests are already gone. Forest loss is also effecting climate change. Because forests are the greatest storehouse of carbon, the greatest terrestrial storehouse of carbon. So logging in Canada alone, puts as much carbon into the atmosphere as all of the cars in California every year."

-- Tzeporah Berman, program director for ForestEthics

"The record shows that greenhouse gases of carbon dioxide in particular did not go above 280 parts per million over the last 650 thousand years. We’re now over 400 parts per million. Coming close to what many scientists are now referring to as a tipping point. A tipping point where we lose control of climate. And once we’ve lost control of climate, then things like Katrina, a Katrina scale of events will become simply the norm."

-- David W. Orr, professor of Environmental Studies and Politics at Oberlin College and professor at the University of Vermont.

"It’s been enough to melt 20 percent of the sea ice in the arctic, its been enough to speed up the spin and duration of hurricanes about 50%. It’s been enough to start the permafrost beneath the tundra across the north melting."

-- Bill McKibben, author, The End of Nature.

"What global warming does, or what the climate change is linked to global warming, what those changes do, is that they add another dimension of uncertainty. It threatens your food security for example, threatens your water security. It threatens your sea level security, it threatens your security against storms, hurricanes and all these things other things in the news that you see."

-- Dr. Peter B. deMenocal, Associate Research Scientist at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University.

These are quotes from the excellent documentary The 11th Hour
post #23 of 41
I've lost all patience with all these people hanging on every fucking insane excuse trying to discredit global warming. "See, this prominent scientist doesn't support this theory, so it's wrong". I don't care if the 'prominent scientist' cured cancer, if this not his field his opinion carries as much weight as mine.

All these people, either out of hope of monetary gains or unwillingness to consider changing their lifestyles, are actively trying to harm myself and the billions of humans that this problem has already started affecting. Fuck these people. They don't deserve being logically spoken to.
post #24 of 41
Wouldn't it be amazing if conservatives were actually for conservation?
post #25 of 41
When NYC floods, think they'll get the message?
post #26 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by stelios
All these people, either out of hope of monetary gains or unwillingness to consider changing their lifestyles, are actively trying to harm myself and the billions of humans that this problem has already started affecting. Fuck these people. They don't deserve being logically spoken to.
The oil companies make more money than the GNP of a lot of countries. They're the most profitable business of all time because their friends in government continue to give them huge tax breaks on the public dime and even fight wars for them. Throw enough money at something and you can do anything and have anything and important people will line up to lick your boots.
post #27 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
Sorry, being part of a 'democratic citizenship' (as if there is such a thing) would not obligate me to have an opinion on any hot button issue, whether I'm qualified to speak on it or no.
Democratic citizens ought to educate themselves on major issues, as they elect governments on the basis of these issues; an informed electorate strengthens democracy, where an uniformed electorate will weaken it.

Quote:
What are your scientific qualifications, Mr Informed Citizen? Couple classes in college, a dozen articles read? Woopty do, way to fulfill the duties of a democratic citizen. You know nothing, why pretend to be a specialist?
My scientific qualifications are irrelevant. Appealing to authority is unsound argument. Education merely suggests that an individual able to articulate and understand a subject on which he is educated; extending this to the validity of his arguments is erroneous —* argument validity is determined internally, by the truth of premises and the consistency of logic.

Quote:
I don't know whether global warming is manmade (or man-exacerbated) or not, and neither do you. So why pretend? Is it so important to seem to have an opinion on everything?
I have a fairly good idea of what is occuring with regards to climate change. So might you, had you the fucking impetus to inform yourself on the salient problems affecting contemporary society. And no, you needn't have an opinion on every issue. Moreover, if you choose to refrain from having an opinions, refrain from having an opinion about whether others should have an opinion — indeed, by the consistency of you own argument, you shouldn't argue, because you obviously aren't an expert in the finer points of argument.
post #28 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by harrybeanbag
And unimportant ones too, apparently.
That to me is the most mystifying aspect of the era we're living in.

I can understand shareholders, executive officers, employees and ancillary business officers, etc., letting greed and/or fear preclude decency and responsibility. What is harder to understand is why regular people who have everything to lose and zero to gain regurgitate the White House talking points on this issue. It's like the Clear Channels / Glenn Becks / Fox Newses of the world really have facilitated the perfect propaganda machine and people are simply brainwashed.

And I don't know if these believers will ever comprehend how cravenly they've been used because taking such a huge leap in self-awareness is hard for anyone.
post #29 of 41
Absolutely. And I believe elections should be publicly funded to get the money out of politics, so that our representatives will not be so easily bought and coopted.

Separately, when the future of a resource becomes clouded not only in terms of sustainability but political insecurity and conflict, a healthy business would start looking for another resource, not throw thousands of lives and billions of public (borrowed) money into a war whose objective is obtaining control of that finite resource, at a GREAT political, ecological and karmic price.

There is no logical argument for the continued reliance on particularly foreign oil. That is why the utterly corrupt Iraqi oil agreement gets ZERO play in the US media, and why there's so much obfuscation wrt global warming as a direct consequence of the burning of fossil fuels. The idea is that we shouldn't think about it, because the more you think about it the less it makes sense.

Oil "security" is making us LESS secure in almost every way. The only thing that is secure at the end of the day are the trillions the oil companies will net from the blood and tax subsidies of Americans.
post #30 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by harrybeanbag
Speaking of self-awareness, I read a snippet yesterday on MSN about one of the anti-Dixie Chicks protestors who had a change of heart. While it came off as a bit schmaltzy, it was an interesting profile of a complete political 180 and gave a bit of insight as to how easily some people just get swept up in the mob mentality after being provoked by one simple thing.
This was fascinating and hopeful. Thanks for the link, hbb.
post #31 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin Bolivar
I hate when I wind up half-heartedly defending what I believe the viewpoint here is, but I feel somewhat obligated.
It's a good thing. Who wants to live in an echo chamber?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin Bolivar
It's my belief that the disconnect lies in the level of optimism one has towards alternative energy sources, filtered through the grimy lens that at least some of the oil industry forces in front of the issue. Oil is a sure thing, and the prospect of running out of it without something to solidly replace it is horrifying. With the efforts that have been put into keeping at least some alternate energies from taking off in the past, coupled with the few viable options available today being either (for now) prohibitively expensive or unfeasible for a variety of reasons (geography and irrational fears, mostly), it's not too hard to imagine that even a war as costly as this one has been seems a rational thing to do. Energy is secured for a while longer, and technology has more time to catch up to the price-efficiency of oil. Time that might not be needed if the pinch was really being felt, but time that allows for certain companies to push their own projects. And to be fair, that time might in all honesty be needed to rebuild our infrastructure to the point that oil is no longer necessary. I don't know enough to say.

I'd like to look into the oil companies research efforts in alternate energy, because it's impossible to imagine that they aren't there, and heavily focused on those that are easily manageable. No corporations as large as Exxon and such could be that short-sighted. I recall that some larger proponents of hydrogen had ties to the industry.

In short, the reasoning is there; it's heavily clouded by the industry it helps most, but I have some faith that even this administration thinks it's acting in the bests interests of America. But there's a big gap between that thought process and the world everybody actually lives in.
The sad thing is, any reasonable person would think that. But it isn't the case. The situation we're in today is not new, and the fact is that in the 70s this country was on its way toward a sensible energy policy that has been completely dismantled since those halcyon days when the president lived in the "reality based community." This speech Jimmy Carter made in 1977 was his message to the country and the world that the US was going to respond to the crisis by conserving energy, eliminating waste, and researching alternatives to oil: "With the exception of preventing war, this is the greatest challenge our country will face during our lifetimes."

I'm going to excerpt a 2005 article by my idol Thom Hartmann for the rest of the story.

Quote:
Carter's speech drew a strong reaction from the Saudis and the oil industry. Think tanks soon emerged - many whose names are today familiar - to suggest there was really no energy problem, and they led the charge to establish a permanent right-wing media in the US. Within two years, Saudi citizen and oil baron Salem bin Laden's sole US representative, James Bath, would funnel cash into the failing business of the son of the CIA's former director, political up-and-comer George H. W. Bush. With that money from the representative of Osama Bin Laden's half-brother, George Bush Jr. was able to keep afloat his Arbusto ("shrub" in Spanish) Oil Company. And he would be in the pocket of the bin Laden and Saudi interests for the rest of his life. But Carter was incorruptible.

"We can be sure that all the special interest groups in the country will attack the part of this plan that affects them directly," he said. "They will say that sacrifice is fine, as long as other people do it, but that their sacrifice is unreasonable, or unfair, or harmful to the country. If they succeed, then the burden on the ordinary citizen, who is not organized into an interest group, would be crushing." But that would be wrong. It would be un-American. It would lead to future oil shocks, and the probable death of American soldiers in Middle Eastern oil wars. Instead of caving in to the Saudis and the oil industry, Carter said: "There should be only one test for this program: whether it will help our country."

Two years later, as the bin Laden family's sole US representative was bailing out George Bush Junior's failing oil business, Jimmy Carter gave another speech on energy, further refining his national energy policy. He had already started the national strategic petroleum reserve, birthed the gasohol and solar power industries, and helped insulate millions of homes and offices. But he wanted to go a step further. "I am tonight setting a clear goal for the energy policy of the United States," Carter said on July 15, 1979. "Beginning this moment, this nation will never use more foreign oil than we did in 1977 -- never. From now on, every new addition to our demand for energy will be met from our own production and our own conservation. The generation-long growth in our dependence on foreign oil will be stopped dead in its tracks right now and then reversed as we move through the 1980s..." In addition, we needed to immediately begin to develop a long-range strategy to move beyond fossil fuel.

Therefore, Carter said, "I will soon submit legislation to Congress calling for the creation of this nation's first solar bank, which will help us achieve the crucial goal of 20 percent of our energy coming from solar power by the year 2000." But then came the Iran/Contra October Surprise, when the Reagan/Bush campaign allegedly promised the oil-rich mullahs of Iran that they'd sell them missiles and other weapons if only they'd keep our hostages until after the 1980 Carter/Reagan presidential election campaign was over. The result was that Carter, who had been leading in the polls over Reagan/Bush, steadily dropped in popularity as the hostage crisis dragged out, and lost the election. The hostages were released the very minute that Reagan put his hand on the Bible to take his oath of office. The hostages freed, the Reagan/Bush administration quickly began illegally delivering missiles to Iran.

And Ronald Reagan's first official acts of office included removing Jimmy Carter's solar panels from the roof of the White House, and reversing most of Carter's conservation and alternative energy policies.

Today, despite the best efforts of the Bushies, the bin Ladens, and the rest of the oil industry, Carter's few surviving initiatives have borne fruit.

It is now more economical to build power generating stations using wind than using coal, oil, gas, or nuclear. When amortized over the life of a typical mortgage, installing solar power in a house in most parts of the US is cheaper than drawing power from the grid. (Shell and British Petroleum are among the world's largest manufacturers of solar photovoltaic panels, which can now even be used as roofing shingles.) And hybrid cars that get 50-70 miles to the gallon are increasingly commonplace on our nation's highways. Instead of taking a strong stand to make America energy independent, Bush kisses a Saudi crown prince, then holds hands with him as they walk into Bush's hobby ranch in Texas. Our young men and women are daily dying in Iraq - a country with the world's second largest store of underground oil. And we live in fear that another 15 Saudis may hijack more planes to fly into our nation's capitol or into nuclear power plants.

Meanwhile, Bush brings us an energy bill that includes eight billion dollars in welfare payments to the oil business, just as the nation's oil companies report the highest profits in the entire history of the industry. Americans struggle to pay for gasoline, while the Bush administration refuses to increase fleet efficiency standards, stop the $100,000 tax break for buying Hummers, or maintain and build Amtrak.
The whole article is here.
post #32 of 41
When was our expertise in climatology the point of this thread? Of course no one here is an expert (I guess). I only know about global warming what the experts are saying and they overwhelmingly support that the current trend of global warming is at least partially caused by human influence.

If you choose to ignore the vast majority of the scientific community in favor of a bunch of dubiously motivated guns for hire and various crackpots, that's your problem. Stop trying to pass yourself as just a levelheaded ordinary guy trying to cope with a bunch of radicals.
post #33 of 41
China's pretty major. And we're no angels either. Canada signed, but the conservatives dug in their heels at every turn to keep anything from getting done; the behaviour of Alberta's provincial Conservatives was particularly disgraceful. Now the Conservatives run the federal government, and when it comes to greenhouse gas emissions the Tories do their best to walk lockstep with the Republicans. The conservatives have turned our country's word into nothing more than ink on a page.
post #34 of 41
I further surprising news, the Governator continues to baffle his fellow conservatives:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21691277/
post #35 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
Not only is this true, it's what I say when asked about my religious beliefs. You made a point here, but not yours.
You feel that no one's even allowed to form a subjective opinion on this fairly vital topic? You can't actually be that stupid, so I'm going to ask you to please stop being disingenuous.
post #36 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
Can someone at least find a fresher metaphor than 'head in the sand'?

Nature takes care of herself. We are in nature and of nature. We are not unnatural, and man-made things are as natural as beaver dams. Therefore if man causes the ice to melt and the seas to rise, what of it? Climates have been changing and species disappearing since the beginning of time, and man's causing it is just as natural as anything else's causing it. The problem with our being conscious is we lose perspective. We're part of a larger process. My time alive and conscious is limited. Why should I spend that time fretting over something that could not have been avoided, and which is not unfortunate, or fortunate, only natural?
I'm just curious, Barzun, as to what influences contributed to your perspective on this. It seems bizarre to me but you might have a circle of friends or listen to a particular person on a radio or go to church services or whatever. Or did you come up with this response on your own without input from anyone else? This isn't any kind of confrontation, just curiosity.
post #37 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin Bolivar
That's fascinating. Did Carter originally run as a candidate bent on removing our dependence on foreign energy, or was it a shift made in his time as president? I'd wondered what effect the oil embargo had on our energy policy then, but post-Carter (or what that article and speech suggests of his intent) it seems like the most ass-backwards shit imaginable.
I'm foggy on it since I was just a little kid at the time, so I can't say for sure if Carter ran on that platform without some googling. I do know that Carter's 1977 speech was in the aftermath of the oil crisis. He was looking at the numbers in terms of peak US oil and the inevitable shift toward Middle Eastern oil. He was also looking at figures involving waste and excess in the US. And Carter was an honest man -- maybe the last one we had in the Oval Office -- and couldn't be bought by the oil companies. He truly believed in peace and democracy. That's the source of the ass-backwardsary of the post-Carter era. Every system of government is corruptible if you have people in office who have a price tag affixed. If we had continued on the path Carter laid down, there would have been no wars in the Middle East, no 9/11, etc.

As an aside, I remember the gas lines and the conservation movement. When I was a kid, my mom was pretty strict about conserving energy, turning off lights, keeping a low thermostat, etc., and she had solar panels on the roof, as did a lot of people in those days. Nobody seems even conscious of that stuff anymore. For some insight on how good things slide away through corporate interference when nobody's watching, you should watch "Who Killed the Electric Car?" I lived through that too in California and was completely unaware of the situation while it was happening, and found myself unconsciously repeating the meme that "electric cars can't go very far and aren't practical," which isn't true now and wasn't true then. That's how subtly this stuff can work. Most of us walk around thinking we can't be manipulated when the truth is that we are and just don't know it. The only way to fight back is to be as aware as you can of every side of what's happening every day.
post #38 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
I'm far, far, far, far, far left. So far left I go off screen, return from the right like in Mario 2. So, no church (I'm interested in Buddhism but am not self-disciplined enough to be one), no talk radio, no political discussions with friends. And I am as much a nature lover as anyone. I've adopted a manatee. I wish him the best.

But my take on crises of this kind comes from Buddhism + an amused sort of fatalism, and it's tough to change.
At least now I know where you're coming from. And I would argue that the Buddhist philosophy would leave nature untouched and use only what's necessary, which is not what the human race is doing. Every species on Earth other than man lives in harmony with nature. We are the only ones who destroy it on such a broad scale. Global warming was not caused by natural phenomena, it was caused by human beings - we artificially prolong our own lives with medicine, prolong our hours of the day with electric light, extend our reach across the world with modes of transportation that run on fossil fuels, enable population growth through the mass production and transportation of food. Add to that human greed, which pushes all of those abilities past the point of necessity to the point of excess and you find a world wildly out of balance because of man. What we have done must be undone or we will take every other species down with us -- we are already. Yeah, the Earth will continue, but not with the current forms of life occupying it. To you that might not be a big deal, but other than my conscience, which is horrified by what's happening to your Manatee, I have kids and I'd rather they don't have to fight their way through a Road Warrior world because we as a people weren't smart enough or strong enough to stand up to the callous greedheads at the top who view us as little more than cattle.

As an aside, if you're interested in Buddhism, I recommend to you Being Peace by Thich Nhat Hahn.
post #39 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barzun
Can someone at least find a fresher metaphor than 'head in the sand'?

Nature takes care of herself. We are in nature and of nature. We are not unnatural, and man-made things are as natural as beaver dams. Therefore if man causes the ice to melt and the seas to rise, what of it? Climates have been changing and species disappearing since the beginning of time, and man's causing it is just as natural as anything else's causing it. The problem with our being conscious is we lose perspective. We're part of a larger process. My time alive and conscious is limited. Why should I spend that time fretting over something that could not have been avoided, and which is not unfortunate, or fortunate, only natural?
This is only true from a philosophical point of view. What advocates of a response to global warming are trying to do is not to 'save the earth' from our unnatural ways. They are trying to minimize the casualties to our species. I'm not saying that the earth as an ecosystem is in danger of destruction. It will take care of itself in the long run. Climate change is the earth taking care of itself and finding a new balance. Our problem is that this new balance will have catastrophic consequences on human civilization. It is beyond insane not trying to do anything about it.
post #40 of 41
Quote:
Originally Posted by stelios
Our problem is that this new balance will have catastrophic consequences on human civilization. It is beyond insane not trying to do anything about it.
Bingo. I'm concerned about global climate change not for hippy-dippy mother-gaia reasons. I'm concerned about global climate change because we're gonna fuck our shit up. And so should you.
post #41 of 41
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