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Can the economy be fixed?

post #1 of 4
Thread Starter 
This is a pretty succinct piece about a timely topic, albeit from an odd source (an astronomy blog).

Quote:
Can the U.S. Economy Be Fixed? Experts Say “Trickle Down” Theory has Only Made Poor Poorer & Rich Richer

Income inequality has increased at an alarming rate in the last 30 years. High gas prices and rising food costs are only exacerbating an already growing problem. The “trickle down” economics that have for years been the justification for giving huge tax cuts to the super-rich met with just one little problem; the money never did trickle down. Oops.

Like no other time in history, the rich in the US are getting richer, and the poor are getting poorer. Americans love bootstraps stories of how every American can be rich if he or she just tries hard enough. But the truth is that Americans are trying harder than ever. They are working longer hours, and are more productive than ever before, but are still getting poorer. Somehow the “American Dream” isn’t telling the whole story.

Robert Reich, a professor of public policy at the University of California at Berkeley and former secretary of labor in the Clinton Administration says that the “trickle down” theory has only made the poor poorer and the rich richer, and when your average Americans start being more productive, they aren’t the ones who benefit from it.

“The basic reality is this: For most Americans, earnings have not kept up with the cost of living,” notes Reich. “This is not a new phenomenon, but it has finally caught up with the pocketbooks of average people. If you look at the earnings of nongovernment workers, especially the hourly workers who comprise 80 percent of the work force, you'll find they are barely higher than they were in the mid-1970s, adjusted for inflation. The income of a man in his 30s is now 12 percent below that of a man his age three decades ago. Per-person productivity has grown considerably since then, but most Americans have not reaped the benefits of those productivity gains. They've gone largely to the top.”

Us_economy_2 The Federal Reserve Board's "beige book" for June and July shows that American consumers are cutting substantially back on their purchases of everything from food to cars, appliances and name-brand products. As consumers cut back on spending because they have no money to spend, employers likewise cut back hours, wages and benefits and a downward spiral ensues.

Reich believes, “The normal remedies for economic downturns are necessary. But even an adequate stimulus package will offer only temporary relief this time, because this isn't a normal downturn. The problem lies deeper. Most Americans can no longer maintain their standard of living. The only lasting remedy is to improve their standard of living by widening the circle of prosperity.”

But so far, things don’t seem to be changing. CEOs, even the most incompetent ones that are running their companies into the ground, are seeing their incomes rise as their workers incomes are falling. As Americans lose their homes, and their retirement funds, Wall Street Hedge fund managers are reporting record earnings as they profit from the disaster.

In reference to the billion dollar profits that Wall Street is raking in at the expense of Americans, The New York Times recently reported, “Their unprecedented and growing affluence underscores the gaping inequality between the millions of Americans facing stagnating wages and rising home foreclosures and an agile financial elite that seems to thrive in good times and bad.”

According to Jared Bernstein, a senior fellow at the Economic Policy Institute in Washington, such inequality hurts our chances of an economic recovery. Since 1913, the United States witnessed only one other year of such astoundingly unequal wealth distribution — 1928, the year before the stock market crashed.

“For a recovery to be robust and sustainable you can’t just have consumer demand at Nordstrom,” explained Bernstein in The New York Times. “You need it at the little shop on the corner, too.”

However, many Americans are now having a hard time even paying for the basic necessities, and are finding it increasingly difficult to do so.

As for Reich, he points out that the real problem isn't the collapse in housing prices, or the frenetic rise in oil and food prices. While these are certainly contributing to the problem, they aren’t directly creating it. We were able to cheat our way out of the pain of inequality for a time using various coping mechanisms, but the writing was always on the wall. Unless major changes are embraced, the U.S. economy will continue to tank.

Rampant and growing inequality in America is bad for the economy for many reasons. “The very wealthy are more likely to invest their earnings wherever around the world they can get the highest return” rather than spend it at home, Reich explains.

“This underlying earnings problem has been masked for years as middle- and lower-income Americans found means to live beyond their paychecks. But they have now run out of such coping mechanisms…the first coping mechanism was to send more women into paid work. Most women streamed into the work force in the 1970s less because new professional opportunities opened up to them than because they had to prop up family incomes. The percentage of American working mothers with school-age children has almost doubled since 1970, to more than 70 percent. But there's a limit to how many mothers can maintain paying jobs.”

So, what’s the solution now that even two breadwinners can’t support one family? Do Americans need to start working harder? According to Reich, we’re reaching the end of how much we can possibly work.

“The typical American now works more each year than he or she did three decades ago. Americans became veritable workaholics, putting in 350 more hours a year than the average European, more even than the notoriously industrious Japanese.”

Reich says many Americans were also able to stave off an impending financial crisis by relying on “a third coping mechanism”: home-equity. People began to borrow against their homes, but when the housing market bubble burst, things got ugly.

“Americans are reaching the end of their ability to borrow, and lenders have reached the end of their capacity to lend. Credit-card debt, meanwhile, has reached dangerous proportions. Banks are now pulling back,” Notes Reich. “As a result, typical Americans have run out of coping mechanisms to keep up their standard of living. That means there's not enough purchasing power in the economy to buy all the goods and services it's producing. We're finally reaping the whirlwind of widening inequality and ever-more-concentrated wealth.”

Reich believes the only long-term solution to the economic crises is to increase the real earnings of middle-class and lower-middle-class Americans. He also says the days of hoping that coddling the richest of Americans is somehow going to help the poor are long gone.

“The answer is not to give tax breaks to the very wealthy and to giant corporations in the hope they will trickle down to everyone else. We've tried that, and it hasn't worked. Nothing has trickled down. Rather, the long-term answer is for us to invest in the productivity of our working people -- enabling families to afford health insurance and have access to good schools and higher education -- while also rebuilding our infrastructure and investing in the clean energy technologies of the future. We must also adopt progressive taxes at the federal, state and local levels. In other words, we must rebuild the American economy from the bottom up. It cannot be rebuilt from the top down.”
From The Daily Galaxy
post #2 of 4
It not the fault of “Trickle Down” Theory, and any 'Expert' who say otherwise is a moron. It has two causes, #1 is the lack of availability of money, the changes in the loan system started in the 70s. #2 is governmental hindrance of the small farmer and small businesses. An major example would be Pay Roll Taxes.
post #3 of 4
We tax the ever-livin' crap out of small businesses/individual workers but give gigantic subsidies/largesse/use of public lands to multinational conglomerates, privatize the profits of large corporations but subsidize their losses, and have horribly regressive tax programs (Social Security being the biggest culprit). We also keep printing more and more money which are backed by low interest rates and ridiculous inflation.

Until we do something about these core problems, we're going to continue to see bail-out after bail-out, multinational corporations exporting jobs but keeping the profits for the executives, and a general decline in the purcashing power of the dollar.

The problem is that the government is addicted to lobbyist money and knows that touching subsidies/entitlements or allowing large industries to go bankrupt and put hundreds of thousands out of work is the surest way to lose an election. Our entire system of politics is established on short term results, and what we need right now is a long term course correction, which we'll never get because professional politicians don't want to lose their jobs.

The trickle down theory is a complete failure. We should have been forcing companies to invest in the American worker, his retirement, and his medical plan, if they wanted to reap the benefits of tax breaks and subsidies. I also continue to maintain that if we replaced, dollar for dollar, taxes with mandated worker benefits/wages, companies wouldn't mind the shift and overall productivity would explode.
post #4 of 4
Quote:
Originally Posted by Overlord View Post

Our entire system of politics is established on short term results, and what we need right now is a long term course correction, which we'll never get because professional politicians don't want to lose their jobs.
We may get it whether we want it or not.

A lot of people in the US don't understand/care about how bad things were prior to regulations, like health and safety and items like ERISA. They're comfortable now and bought into the right-wing crap fest that we're all one tax break away from living in mansions. Oh, that an deporting all the illegals.
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