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700 Billion ... A Trillion ....

post #1 of 13
Thread Starter 
Tomato, Tomahto.

I still don't see Americans--on a whole--really caring about this, because we are now desensitized to the word "billion".

There is a reason why the government will avoid using the word "Trillion" though, which is a number closer to what we'll actually have to pay out.

From the Washington Times:

Quote:
In the dark of night over the weekend when most people were snoozing, the Treasury dramatically expanded its bailout plan to include buying student loans, car loans, credit card debt and any other "troubled" assets held by banks.

The changes, which were included in draft language that also opened the bailout program to foreign banks with extensive loan operations in the United States, potentially added tens of billions of dollars to the cost of the program.
http://washingtontimes.com/news/2008...quietly-added/
post #2 of 13
Not to be overly ass-kissy, but my god I'm glad you're on this website. It's just nice to have a breath of fresh air in the Political Discourse forum.
post #3 of 13
People don't care because people don't understand how it affects them, because the effects won't be felt until after the election. This just a band aid to stem the tide long enough to help John McCain get elected.

I really hope Obama or someone is able to articulate in plain, accessible terms what taxpayers are being asked to do and what will happen once the administration has its trillion.

Naomi Klein wrote about how this will most likely play out here.

Quote:
It would be a grave mistake to underestimate the right's ability to use this crisis -- created by deregulation and privatization -- to demand more of the same. Don't forget that Newt Gingrich's 527 organization, American Solutions for Winning the Future, is still riding the wave of success from its offshore drilling campaign, "Drill Here, Drill Now!" Just four months ago, offshore drilling was not even on the political radar and now the U.S. House of Representatives has passed supportive legislation. Gingrich is holding an event this Saturday, September 27 that will be broadcast on satellite television to shore up public support for these controversial policies.

What Gingrich's wish list tells us is that the dumping of private debt into the public coffers is only stage one of the current shock. The second comes when the debt crisis currently being created by this bailout becomes the excuse to privatize social security, lower corporate taxes and cut spending on the poor. A President McCain would embrace these policies willingly. A President Obama would come under huge pressure from the think tanks and the corporate media to abandon his campaign promises and embrace austerity and "free-market stimulus."

We have seen this many times before, in this country and around the world. But here's the thing: these opportunistic tactics can only work if we let them. They work when we respond to crisis by regressing, wanting to believe in "strong leaders" - even if they are the same strong leaders who used the September 11 attacks to push through the Patriot Act and launch the illegal war in Iraq.
There was another interesting piece (which I excerpted in the "economy" thread) about what will likely transpire after these bailouts since it's essentially history repeating itself. That article's here.
post #4 of 13
The thing is, I think people are used to hearing "trillion" thrown around, whether they realize how much money that is or not, is a different issue. But we could be talking quadrillions by the time all is said and done.
post #5 of 13
So...what happens if Congress doesn't enact this proposed legislation?

Several major financial institutions go under....huge job losses...catastrophic losses for people that have stocks in their retirement plans and 401Ks.

Wealthy folks retract and don't invest in jobs via venture capital.

So what's the counterproposal? I'm just asking because I've yet to hear anyone in the media say there was one. Or was the only other option to let these companies slide into the abyss?
post #6 of 13
Sen. Bernie Sanders has the best one, from my perspective:

“A five-year, 10 percent surtax on income over $1 million a year for couples and over $500,000 for single taxpayers,” which he says he would “yield more than $300 billion in revenue.”

His plan.
post #7 of 13
I like much of that, yt, especially the part about the Feds getting a percentage of the profits when the stock goes back up on these companies thanks to the bail out.

The big thing we need to enforce is there will be no profiteering from the policies that got them into this mess in the first place.
post #8 of 13
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr Vivisector View Post
So...what happens if Congress doesn't enact this proposed legislation?

Several major financial institutions go under....huge job losses...catastrophic losses for people that have stocks in their retirement plans and 401Ks.

Wealthy folks retract and don't invest in jobs via venture capital.

So what's the counterproposal? I'm just asking because I've yet to hear anyone in the media say there was one. Or was the only other option to let these companies slide into the abyss?
You forgot the big one... no one can borrow money. There would be only 6 million car sales each year (according to Paulson) and there would be no way for people to buy homes.

I listened to the hearing all day today and they mostly came off like it was a giant pill they didn't want to swallow and were asking what other proposals they had considered before coming to this one and trying to more or less horse trade this deal down to a smaller amount (150 million) and then maybe come back for more in January.

Some other Senators were making some off the hook suggestions but none of them were very good (like private sector rescuing them and going to the well of the old S&L solution). The thing that caught me was Paulson said he talked to the chairman about this on Sunday and said his 3 pages was an outline and they were supposed to work on it this week and how this isn't a black check, its a specific amount and everyone who was in this meeting knew it. The real telling signs was when the people who were in this meeting used some of the language that Paulson and Berneke used to describe the actual crisis. The amount of political posturing in that hearing was pathetic by both sides.

From what I got out of the hearing.. no one is going to bite at it. Paulson said there should be regulations and oversight and they kept hemming and hawing about different things. I think they're all trying to stick their head in the sand and say things aren't going to be that bad. Someone tried to rationalize it at one point by saying if we approved this right away it would take weeks or months to impliment so what's the rush?
post #9 of 13
Paulson was lying today about the oversight, and anyone with half a brain and an internet connection knows it. His original proposal specifically called for no oversight.

This, by Chris Bowers, lays out some good questions (hyperlinks in the original piece):

Quote:
Things are getting a little suspicious about this "crisis."

1. Why is it that the Bush administration declared "crisis" suddenly appeared during the final two weeks when Congress would be in session before the election? Is it maybe because, after the election, Congress would know it wasn't dealing with Bush anymore? This is, keep in mind, the final week when Congress has to deal with Bush at all.

2. If this is such a sudden crisis, why is it that the Bush administration was drawing up the plan for this bill for months beforehand?

3. Why is it that Congress is supposed to bail out many banks and firms that are actually quite successful and profitable right now, and not just those that are failing?

4. Why is Paulson blatantly lying to Congress about oversight?

5. Where did the $700 billion figure come from?

6. Why is Paulson urging that debate on the matter be held after the legislation is passed?

The burden of proof should always be placed on those who are demanding a huge government bailout, not upon those who are skeptical that one is needed. And yet the questions keep mounting, with no answers in sight.

I am not saying that there is no need for government intervention. I am saying that the case for a $700 billion bailout is far from being made. Until the case is made, there is no need to go forward. We will elect a new President in 42 days. We will have a new Congress in 103 days. What is the rush? Why does this all of a sudden need to be done while the Bush administration is still in charge? The case hasn't been made, and answers are slow in coming, if they come at all.
post #10 of 13
They've been sitting on this plan for weeks. Paulson's PR blitz is a calculated move to shock the system. Even if changes are plugged in, it's still a massive giveaway to the most cynical of looters, and finance types are lining up to manage these transactions. Everyone's trying to get in on the payout. That should make any self-respecting human being -- even the rich -- sick to their stomaches.
post #11 of 13
post #12 of 13
Thread Starter 
Thanks for that Matt M.

This is all suspiciously beginning to look the Iraq War debacle.

"We have to go war RIGHT NOW before the weather turns too hot for the troops!"
post #13 of 13
My take: Dodd's highly punitive plan should be enacted with a much lower money ceiling (say, $100B, tops). That ensures that only the firms/banks that are in dire straights will take it, and punts the bulk of the issue until after the elections, when we can focus less on the politics of bailout and more on the effectiveness.
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