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Election Night - Results to Watch - Page 2

post #51 of 73
10/29/08 at 7:15pm
Thread Starter 
You could, you know, stand 100' from a polling place with a big ass sign.
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post #52 of 73
11/3/08 at 1:19pm
Thread Starter 
I updated this well intentioned but poorly thought out monstrosity one last time. Today's polls have been pretty darn good for Obama. Every national poll shows him at 50+. PPP came out with some tighter than I'd like polls in FL and NC... +1 in each. Quinnipiac doubled down on the too close in FL (+2) but eased my worried mind with a +7 in OH and +10 in PA.

The red column can keep Florida if it means I get Ohio.
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post #53 of 73
11/5/08 at 11:38am
Still bewildered that Prop 2 passed in Florida (had to be approved by greater than 60%). WTF.
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post #54 of 73
11/5/08 at 11:41am
Most accurate national poll? Rasmussen seems to have been pretty accurate for the popular vote results ...

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ.../how_did_we_do

Be curious to see what polling organization got it closer on the state by state.
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post #55 of 73
11/5/08 at 11:57am
Kagen defeats Gard yet again:

http://www.startribune.com/politics/...D3aPc:_Yyc:aUU
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post #56 of 73
11/5/08 at 12:31pm
Thread Starter 
Once alll the results are in I'll add them in to the top post. AP is reporting that they are uncalling MN Senate.
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post #57 of 73
11/5/08 at 12:32pm
The Stevens race in Alaska is a whole lot closer than I thought it would be. 99% reporting and he's up by 3,000 votes.

If he get re-elected and then resigns there will be a special election to replace him. Alaska law was changed recently from having the Gov. appoint a replacement. Here begins the start of Palin 2.0.
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post #58 of 73
11/5/08 at 12:41pm
This Amendment 2 thing in Florida is really pissing me off.
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post #59 of 73
11/5/08 at 12:45pm
Yep. Very confused on the outcome for Prop 2. If I remember correctly, polls before the election only showed a 53% approval.
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post #60 of 73
11/5/08 at 12:50pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by myk View Post
AP is reporting that they are uncalling MN Senate.
You just made my day, man.

You made my fucking day.

ETA: Besides the whole first black man becoming president thing and all.
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post #61 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:01pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by HBarr View Post
Yep. Very confused on the outcome for Prop 2. If I remember correctly, polls before the election only showed a 53% approval.
It needed at least 60% to pass and ended up with 62%.
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post #62 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:03pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by bendrix View Post
You just made my day, man.

You made my fucking day.

ETA: Besides the whole first black man becoming president thing and all.
It's just because of the slim margin of victory and the MN law that mandates a recount. When all is said and done, Coleman will still have won.
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post #63 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:04pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Dickson View Post
It needed at least 60% to pass and ended up with 62%.

Yeah, I'm well aware of the particulars. My point was that right before the actual election, polls showed only a 53% approval (and hence it would have failed). How did this get a 9% jump?
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post #64 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:07pm
I have to think the polls just missed a large segment who were against it. Either that or an anti-gay version of the Bradley Effect.
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post #65 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:07pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by HBarr View Post
Yeah, I'm well aware of the particulars. My point was that right before the actual election, polls showed only a 53% approval (and hence it would have failed). How did this get a 9% jump?
Bradley Effect
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post #66 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:23pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by Judas Booth View Post
It's just because of the slim margin of victory and the MN law that mandates a recount. When all is said and done, Coleman will still have won.
I guess you're probably right. But the fat lady has yet to sing, and this "hope" thing worked out for me pretty well with presidential race. I'm not willing to let go just yet.
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post #67 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:28pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Dickson View Post
I have to think the polls just missed a large segment who were against it. Either that or an anti-gay version of the Bradley Effect.
People can support a black man as preisdent. They cannot support two guys "married". Well, the fight continues.
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post #68 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:28pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by bendrix View Post
I guess you're probably right. But the fat lady has yet to sing, and this "hope" thing worked out for me pretty well with presidential race. I'm not willing to let go just yet.
No matter who eventually wins, we'll have elected a douchebag as a senator. I hated all 3 options for different reasons.
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post #69 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:30pm
I bet both Coleman and Franken are pissed at Barkley.
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post #70 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:33pm
True story: Dean Barkley tried to pick up my brother's secretary at a bar this summer. He was, reportedly, quite pathetic in his attempt.

I honestly don't know what impact Barkley had on the result, though. I know Republicans who voted for him (because they hated Norm) and I know Democrats who voted for him (because they hated Al).
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post #71 of 73
11/5/08 at 1:37pm
I've seen Barkely's picture. He sure as hell looks it.
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post #72 of 73
11/5/08 at 6:44pm
Thread Starter 
Bellweather States
  • Virginia - Pollster: Obama 50.6 - 44.5 Actual: Obama 51-47
  • Georgia - Pollster: McCain 48.6 - 46.4 Actual: McCain 52-46 (some early votes not yet counted)
  • Pennsylvania- Pollster: Obama 52.1 - 44.4 Actual: Obama 55-44 (pff... tightening)
  • Nevada - Pollster Obama 50.4 - 43.6 Actual: Obama 55-42 (Nice work, Cuchulain! Hey... where's Cuchulain been?)

Senate
  • Alaska: Stevens vs. Begich Pollster: Begich 49 - 45.2 Actual: Stevens 48-46 (the felon remains in the Senate)
  • Minnesota: Franken vs. Coleman vs. Barkley Pollster: Franken 39.5 -37.6R - 14.2 Actual: Coleman 42-42-15 (automatic recount)
  • Georgia: Chambliss vs. Martin Pollster: Chambliss 46.7 - 43.9 Actual: Chambliss 49-46 (runoff!)
  • Kentucky: McConnell vs. Lunsford Pollster: McConnell 47.5 - 44.4 Actual: McConnel 52-47
  • Louisiana: Landrieu vs Kennedy Pollster: Landrieu 49.7 - 38.5 Actual Landrieu 52-45 (It was closer than polls indicated)
  • North Carolina: Dole vs Hagan Pollster: Hagen 48.2 - 43.8 Actual: Hagen 52-44 (Where's your God now, Liddy Dole? Where's your God now? (No Doles or Bushes in government for the first time in WAY WAY too long)

House of Representatives
  • Minnesota 6: Bachmann vs. Tinklenberg Pollster: Tinklenberg 44.6-44.5 Actual: Bachmann 46-43 (Well... at least her party is in the minority so she won't be starting any fun new commitees)
  • New York 29: Kuhl vs. Massa Pollster: Massa 49.3 - 42.9 Actual: Massa 50-49 (Rath gets six months off before Massa hits him up for money again)
  • Ohio 3: Mike Turner vs Jane Mitakides Turner 63-36 (Corrupt but effective politician)
  • California 2: Herger vs Morris Herger 57-42
  • North Carolina 8: Hayes vs. Kissell Pollster: Kissell 52 - 45.2 Actual: Kissell 55-44 (Hey! At least one McCarthyite bites the dust)
  • Wisconsin 8: Kagan vs. Gard Pollster: Kagen 49.5 - 43.3 Actual: Kagen: 54-45
  • Virginia 5: Goode vs Perriello Pollster:Goode 52.6 - 40.5 Actual: Too close to call (Goode +363 votes separate this bigot and his challenger)

Governor
  • Wahington: Gregoire v. Rossi... Bluish state with a douchebag challenging (Gregoire 49.6 - 47.6)
Other
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post #73 of 73
11/6/08 at 10:02pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by MissZooey View Post
How so?

Sensenbrenner was a co-sponsor of both the PATRIOT Act (H.R. 3162) and one of the bills that was its predecessor (H.R. 2975). Source.
When W first proposed the Patriot Act as stands, Sensenbrenner said it was going to be passed "over his dead body." As a ranking GOP member, I thought it was a bold and great stand - because the Patriot Act certainly has some reasonable and much-needed updates.

However, I think within 2 days, there were reports Sensenbrenner was called to the White House, and when he came back he endorsed the Patriot Act as written by W. Total failure of will on his part and he's been playing the part of the douchebag quite nicely ever since.
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