CHUD.com Community › Forums › POLITICS & RELIGION › Political Discourse › 2010 Midterm Elections
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:

2010 Midterm Elections

post #1 of 128
Thread Starter 
I just got a gig with the DCCC and noticed there wasn't a dedicated thread for the 2010 elections, so I thought I'd start one and let the community compare notes on what races interest them and the like. The races that interest me are:

California's 44th Congressional District Race - Calvert (R) v. Hedrick (D). This is the race I'm working for, so my reasons for being interested are kind of obvious.

United States Senate - Boxer (D). Out of the two Senators we have, Boxer is the only one who is consistently on the side of her constituents and that goes for how she compares within the context of the Senate as a whole as well. I really hope she just wipes the floor with whomever the GOP challenger happens to be.

California's 2nd Congressional District - Herger (R). I am not a huge fan of the home district, I frankly think they deserve whatever they get in terms of government at this point, but it would be really, really nice to see Herger get clobbered. The guy is arguably the biggest asshole in the Congress. In 2008, the spending ratio between his campaign and Morris' was something like 40:1 and he just barely won.

California Democratic Gubernatorial Primary. I, eh, worked for the Newsom campaign, which was an interesting experience. It'll be interesting to see if Brown will even have to face a challenger when he actually files.
post #2 of 128
I swear to god I started a thread for this, but I'll be damned if I can find it.

The California races are ones I'm following, but I'm also passionate about what happens in New York next year, both with Gillibrand's re-election race and the governor's race. It's pretty much a sure thing that Rudy Giuliani will run for one of those, but I'd rather have a Republican senator than a Republican governor, to tell you the truth. If we wind up with Andrew Cuomo in the state house and Rudy in the senate next year, especially since a) Rudy is old, and b) eighteen months as a junior senator is not enough for him to do enough to make a second run at the White House worthwhile.
post #3 of 128
Is the consensus that the Dems will lose a bunch of seats, but not enough to lose majority?
post #4 of 128
Well there is the X Factor of the Tea Parties to deal with this year. As we saw in New York, it looks like the Republican Party let the mob they created to oppose Health Care reform get a little out of control. Now the people who are mad at Obama are mad at the Republicans as well. It's certainly a development worth watching. If the GOP were smart, they'd run candidates who are moderate and pragmatic in their campaigning at least but as we're seeing with the purity test, smarts are in short supply at the RNC.
post #5 of 128
Unfortunately, the Dems have proven that they can somehow turn a majority in both houses into a position of weakness. After watching the public option implode and Obama make the same bullshit justifications for war-mongering that rang false with Bush, I'm strongly considering just staying home on election day. The Democratic party is no longer an institution that shares my ideals.
post #6 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bradito View Post
Unfortunately, the Dems have proven that they can somehow turn a majority in both houses into a position of weakness. After watching the public option implode and Obama make the same bullshit justifications for war-mongering that rang false with Bush, I'm strongly considering just staying home on election day. The Democratic party is no longer an institution that shares my ideals.
But do the Republicans share your ideals more than the Dems?

Do you prefer, even with your low-opinion of the Dems, more GOP presence in the way the country is run?

No?

THEN GO VOTE.

There's a reason it's the "LESSER" of two evils. Because it's LESS "evil", or however you wanna view it.

A mediocre Dem or a very astute Tea Partier (or Bagger or whatever)? Yeah, let me think about that one...
post #7 of 128
A year ago, I'd have agreed with you, but the Republicans have managed to maintain an overwhelming amount of power for a minority party by being obstructionists to the bitter end. Obama's foolishly tried playing ball with those sociopaths, and the House and Senate have followed suit. Where has it gotten us? We can't get single-payer, but we can cough up another $30 billion to fight in Afghanistan? I didn't vote for that.
post #8 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cuchulain View Post


California Democratic Gubernatorial Primary. I, eh, worked for the Newsom campaign, which was an interesting experience. It'll be interesting to see if Brown will even have to face a challenger when he actually files.
Gotta ask..is the hair...all there?
post #9 of 128
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by RathBandu View Post
I swear to god I started a thread for this, but I'll be damned if I can find it.

The California races are ones I'm following, but I'm also passionate about what happens in New York next year, both with Gillibrand's re-election race and the governor's race. It's pretty much a sure thing that Rudy Giuliani will run for one of those, but I'd rather have a Republican senator than a Republican governor, to tell you the truth. If we wind up with Andrew Cuomo in the state house and Rudy in the senate next year, especially since a) Rudy is old, and b) eighteen months as a junior senator is not enough for him to do enough to make a second run at the White House worthwhile.
I used Google to search the forum and the only 2010 thread I could find was the one for the California gubernatorial race.

As for Giuliani, I would not fret too much about the guy getting a seat in New York. As we all recall, he wore out his welcome in New York City shortly before 9/11 and only gained a resurgence of popularity afterward because the media just couldn't help portraying him as the American equivalent of Churchill. Everything they used to do that is now debunked. Most people know now he wasn't marching around the towers to set a stoic example. Rather, the command center for the next terrorist attack had been set up in the WTC under his watch. Then there is the whole Kerik thing with the guy using rooms that were supposed to be for firefighters to bang hookers and it turned out he was a mobbed up high school drop out. After that, there's the little fact that Guiliani and the Republican Party basically used Ground Zero as a set for the 2004 RNCC after cutting all sorts of services and compensation for firefighters. Then we have the odd fact that it turns out the man has had a background intertwined with the mafia the entire time and lied to the FBI agents conducting the background checks for his US Attorney gig. He's an unlikable walking target range for the Democrats at this point.

On the presidential front, 2008 showed that, the more people get to know the man, the more they grow to dislike him. It kind of restores my faith in the public's ability to recognize and respond to a horrible human being, really.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bradito View Post
A year ago, I'd have agreed with you, but the Republicans have managed to maintain an overwhelming amount of power for a minority party by being obstructionists to the bitter end. Obama's foolishly tried playing ball with those sociopaths, and the House and Senate have followed suit. Where has it gotten us? We can't get single-payer, but we can cough up another $30 billion to fight in Afghanistan? I didn't vote for that.
The Republicans have not maintained any power. What the media and the administration both don't want to acknowledge is that the entire year has been an entirely inter-party squabble within the Democratic Party. (Obama only really bent over backwards to accommodate the Republicans during the stimulus package vote. When it became clear that the current Republican elected officials would rather see the country go down in flames than actually help "the other team" bag a win, they learned their lesson.) Everything right now is basically a fight between people in the House and Senate Democratic caucus who take their jobs seriously and people who are basically content with being paid interns for assorted special interests. Obama doesn't want to acknowledge this because it would require having a head-to-head confrontation with these interests, which is something he has demonstrated a complete aversion to doing. The media doesn't want to point this out because they answer to the same interests. What they want to do is portray this as an intractable Left v. Right debate and pretend that they're just impartial observers.

Rather than stay home, the thing to do here is get involved. If you live in a Democratic district that is served well by its representatives, support them. If it's a Democratic district that isn't being served well, get involved in the primary contest and support a candidate you think would better serve your interests. If it's a Republican district, do whatever you can to flip it.

The people with money in this country want you to believe you're insignificant and the situation is hopeless so that you will stay home. This outcome helps preserves the status quo. Right now, the country is seriously considering scrapping the Reaganomics platform that has crippled this country for the last 29 years. These elections are nothing short of referendums on what kind of country we are going to have for the next generation. Don't sit this out.
post #10 of 128
You forget that Rudy is pretty beloved still in parts of New York, especially the part that's not NYC. There are huge swaths of this state that skew far right and Republican, and it's clear that he's not entirely content doing what he's doing right now. I've said this in a lot of threads, but Paterson sucks, his approval rating is in the toilet, his numbers are some of the worst in the nation, and NY State is in real danger of becoming California Part II. After he told the White House to go screw themselves when they suggested he step aside and let Andrew Cuomo (who hasn't announced anything yet) take a shot at the statehouse, I don't think the DNC has him on a top priority list. And Giuliani would trounce him if he ran for governor.

I'm one of these guys who wants to vote for what's best for the place I live, but I also enjoy a good political fight. Giuliani vs. Cuomo would be a match, Giuliani vs. Paterson would be sad and pathetic.
post #11 of 128
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cylon Baby View Post
Gotta ask..is the hair...all there?
It's real, yes. The only thing more weirdly distracting than the haircut was his apparent feud with the Nation of Islam. I've never exactly been a fan of the Nation, but the Newsom for California experience has led me to actively loathe them.
post #12 of 128
Be honest. It was the thing about his wife's ex-husband being an exonerated felon/LAPD officer that did his campaign in, wasn't it?
post #13 of 128
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by RathBandu View Post
You forget that Rudy is pretty beloved still in parts of New York, especially the part that's not NYC. There are huge swaths of this state that skew far right and Republican, and it's clear that he's not entirely content doing what he's doing right now. I've said this in a lot of threads, but Paterson sucks, his approval rating is in the toilet, his numbers are some of the worst in the nation, and NY State is in real danger of becoming California Part II. After he told the White House to go screw themselves when they suggested he step aside and let Andrew Cuomo (who hasn't announced anything yet) take a shot at the statehouse, I don't think the DNC has him on a top priority list. And Giuliani would trounce him if he ran for governor.

I'm one of these guys who wants to vote for what's best for the place I live, but I also enjoy a good political fight. Giuliani vs. Cuomo would be a match, Giuliani vs. Paterson would be sad and pathetic.
California is exactly like that too. Outside of the greater LA area and the SF Bay Area, the state is entirely rural. Also, unlike NY, most of the LA area actually votes Republican. Orange County and my native region of the state are the last Republican strongholds. Over here, when you screw up in the slightest, the entire state turns on you pretty quickly. Davis was thrown out of office over a freaking automobile tax. I'd like to believe that a state that is so similar to us would recognize Mr. Noun-Verb-9/11 for what he is and respond accordingly.

Quote:
Originally Posted by RathBandu View Post
Be honest. It was the thing about his wife's ex-husband being an exonerated felon/LAPD officer that did his campaign in, wasn't it?
No, actually, what drove him out of the race is embarrassingly obvious for everyone who worked on the campaign: nobody wanted to give Newsom money. Not even the Clinton endorsement brought any cash in for the campaign.

The sad truth is that the guy is personally unlikable and the Democratic establishment in California and the nation as a whole sees him as a major contributing factor to Kerry's loss in 2004 and the passage of Prop 8. It's really unfortunate because he is one of the leading crusaders for human rights in California--his support for marriage equality gets tons of attention but he also used his unique position as a county mayor to assemble a taskforce to go after human trafficking in SF--and he can work a crowd better than anyone I've ever met and I've met Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. He was also one of the main reasons San Francisco has not been firing teachers left and right like the rest of the state. The guy would have made a good governor. Hopefully, he works on his personal issues and rebuilding the bridges he burned with the people who control the money.
post #14 of 128
What's interesting about the NY Governor race is that the two top contenders -- Cuomo and Giuliani -- are both waffling about whether or not they're going to run. Cuomo obviously has the support of the White House, but I don't know if he wants to take on Paterson in a primary fight, even though he would surely win. He reminds me a lot of his old man in that regard. Giuliani wants to run for something, but won't say what.

And again, I think a lot of it comes down to the fact that New York is in pretty shitty shape right now, especially outside of the cities. Nobody wants to be the Barack Obama of NY. Nobody wants to clean up the last guy's mess, and both Giuliani and Cuomo still think they have promising political careers beyond their current positions. If they inherit a failed state and are unable to turn things around, they won't be able to come back from that for a while.

Which is why, in the end, it'll probably be Rick Lazio as Governor. Goddamn Spitzer for not being able to keep it in his pants.
post #15 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by RathBandu View Post
Be honest. It was the thing about his wife's ex-husband being an exonerated felon/LAPD officer that did his campaign in, wasn't it?
If you are referring to Newsom I think it was his inability to raise money and his aura of flakiness that did him in
post #16 of 128
That was a joke that exactly four people are going to get. I'm sorry it wasn't you.
post #17 of 128
Some Blue Dogs like Bart Gordan in Tennessee are retiring, which may free them up for a going-down-on-principle health care vote that might otherwise cost them their seats in purple/red districts. But the main thing it does is create open seats in districts where Republicans might already have the advantage but-for the popular Blue Dog incumbent. And the Republicans are pretty happy that because of a more favorable political climate, a lot of the candidates they want are putting their hats in for 2010. The winds can easily shift in the next 12 months, though.

As BTSMGL said, I would say the conventional wisdom right now is that the Republicans will sharply decrease the Democratic majorities in both houses. But even the most optimistic Republicans aren't predicting the sort of landslide that would result in a Republican majority. Switching 10 Senate seats and 80+ House seats is too much to expect without a major scandal or crisis driving the electorate towards one party and away from the other.
post #18 of 128
Didn't Giuliani take himself out of the governor's race recently? Presumably because he's eyeing Gillebrand's Senate seat? I mean, not that his word is worth much, but it's on the record.

As for Congress, a year from now is an eternity, but the Democrats picked up so many House seats last time that both probability and malaise dictates they are going to cough up a number of them, but losing control seems to be fairly unlikely (though not impossible). TPM did a rundown of this recently and the short version is that redistricting has taken a good number of seats out of contention on both the D and R sides since the 1994 "revolution".

I think it's impossible for the Senate races in 2010 to change the balance of power there.

Also, for all the nauseating bickering, compromising and conceding going on with the health care bill this year, it's true that this wouldn't be the case with a Republican congress. Because there would be no bill at all.
post #19 of 128
The last I head, Giuliani hadn't decided whether he was going to run for the State House or the Senate. He said last month that he hadn't ruled it out.
post #20 of 128
Giuliani is not running for either office and Lazio will try and be up for Gov. What's the word on this?
post #21 of 128
It's official from Rudy that he is not running for any office in 2010, but he's not ruling it out in the future. This is probably part of the reason:

Quote:
Giuliani's consulting business, Giuliani Partners, is flourishing. This month it landed a contract with Rio de Janeiro to help make the city safer before it is the site of the 2016 Olympics. On Tuesday, the mayor said the commitments of that job made it impossible to run for office.
He also endorsed Rick Lazio for governor. This has to make Hamlet Cuomo Jr.'s decision much easier. Unless he's got some dead hookers stuffed in his closet, he'll have this thing wrapped up. As for the Senate race, the article mentions Peter King and Pataki, but neither would do as well as Rudy against Gillibrand. She'll probably get some good sleep tonight knowing Rudy is taking a pass.
post #22 of 128
My Predictions:

Senate:

Democrats lose 4-5 seats. Probably Blanche Lincoln, Dodd (To Linda MacMahon!), Reid (good riddance, bitch), and Obama's old seat the republican moderate. Plus Byrd when he croaks during his term.

House:

20 seats lost, mostly blue dogs. I think Alan Grayson is going to lose (sucks, but he represents a conservative part of Florida). Also my county will go back to the republicans because Joe Sestak is running against Specter in the democratic primary.

I wouldn't mind a thining of the democratic herd as long as it is Lieberman, Baucus, and Ben Nelson
post #23 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rourkefan View Post
My Predictions:

Senate:

Democrats lose 4-5 seats. Probably Blanche Lincoln, Dodd (To Linda MacMahon!), Reid (good riddance, bitch), and Obama's old seat the republican moderate. Plus Byrd when he croaks during his term.

House:

20 seats lost, mostly blue dogs. I think Alan Grayson is going to lose (sucks, but he represents a conservative part of Florida). Also my county will go back to the republicans because Joe Sestak is running against Specter in the democratic primary.

I wouldn't mind a thining of the democratic herd as long as it is Lieberman, Baucus, and Ben Nelson
Probably a good call. Dorgan in South Dakota is in real trouble if the Republican governor challenges him. Hoeven is up about 20 points in two recent polls. If Hoeven sits it out, Dorgan will probably hold on to his seat.

Delaware is also a vulnerability for the Democrats with Biden's old seat. His son Beau is the likely candidate and is running a little behind Republican Mike Castle in most polls (Although Beau is up 5 in one poll).

Other potential pick-ups are Gillibrand's seat in New York (Pataki is fairly even right now), Specter's seat in Pennsylvania (running even with or a little behind Toomey) and Bennett's seat in Colorado (behind two different challengers in the most recent poll). Republicans will have a fight to hold on to Judd Gregg's seat in New Hampshire and Kit Bond's seat in Missouri; but those races are both pretty even in early polling. Boxer may be facing a tough challenge in California if Fiorina picks up steam.

I know it's incredibly early, but right now it looks like the Republicans can expect to pick up 5 seats. Up to 8 would be a great year, with 9-10 being an absolute best case scenario for the Republicans.
post #24 of 128
After the election it might be 54-53. I also hope to god that Lieberman gets kicked out of the caucus as a message to all the other "blue dogs."

This is not going to be 94. The demographics aren't the same. There are more minority voters than 16 years ago. Also alot of the republican voters from 94 are dead from old age. Plus parts of the country aren't as conservative as they used to be.
post #25 of 128
Dorgan calling it quits.

Quote:
North Dakota Democrat Byron Dorgan says he will not seek re-election to the Senate in 2010, a surprise announcement that could give Republicans an opportunity to pick up a seat from the Republican-leaning state.

...

Republican Gov. John Hoeven has been mulling a possible challenge to Dorgan and the veteran lawmaker's retirement could clear the path for the popular governor. Democratic Rep. Earl Pomeroy could be interested in seeking the seat.
The bad news for Democrats: This seat is almost certainly going to the Republicans next year.

The good news for Democrats: Dorgan will be a reliable vote for their party on health care now that he doesn't have to face the voters next year.
post #26 of 128
Seems like the two wild cards that could improve the Democrats' chances are a) the economy recovering noticeably this year and b) the Teabaggers sabotaging the Republicans the way they did with Hoffman.
post #27 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by jvc View Post
Dorgan calling it quits.



The bad news for Democrats: This seat is almost certainly going to the Republicans next year.

The good news for Democrats: Dorgan will be a reliable vote for their party on health care now that he doesn't have to face the voters next year.
Damn 2010 is looking worse and worse. However, I think Dodd might be able to pull a win out of his ass. Delaware will go Democratic. Here are the elections in the Senate next year

2 Overview of races

2.1 Retiring Democratic Senators

2.1.1 Roland Burris of Illinois
2.1.2 Byron Dorgan of North Dakota
2.1.3 Ted Kaufman of Delaware

2.2 Retiring Republican Senators

2.2.1 Kit Bond of Missouri
2.2.2 Sam Brownback of Kansas
2.2.3 Jim Bunning of Kentucky
2.2.4 Judd Gregg of New Hampshire
2.2.5 George LeMieux of Florida
2.2.6 George Voinovich of Ohio

2.3 Democratic incumbents

2.3.1 Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas
2.3.2 Barbara Boxer of California
2.3.3 Michael Bennet of Colorado
2.3.4 Christopher Dodd of Connecticut
2.3.5 Daniel Inouye of Hawaii
2.3.6 Evan Bayh of Indiana
2.3.7 Barbara Mikulski of Maryland
2.3.8 Harry Reid of Nevada
2.3.9 Kirsten Gillibrand of New York
2.3.10 Chuck Schumer of New York
2.3.11 Ron Wyden of Oregon
2.3.12 Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania
2.3.13 Patrick Leahy of Vermont
2.3.14 Patty Murray of Washington
2.3.15 Russ Feingold of Wisconsin

2.4 Republican incumbents

2.4.1 Richard Shelby of Alabama
2.4.2 Lisa Murkowski of Alaska
2.4.3 John McCain of Arizona
2.4.4 Johnny Isakson of Georgia
2.4.5 Mike Crapo of Idaho
2.4.6 Chuck Grassley of Iowa
2.4.7 David Vitter of Louisiana
2.4.8 Richard Burr of North Carolina
2.4.9 Tom Coburn of Oklahoma
2.4.10 Jim DeMint of South Carolina
2.4.11 John Thune of South Dakota
2.4.12 Bob Bennett of Utah
post #28 of 128
My Predictions! 18 of the seats are held by democrats and 18 by republicans

2 Overview of races

2.1 Retiring Democratic Senators

2.1.1 Roland Burris of Illinois Republican pickup
2.1.2 Byron Dorgan of North Dakota Republican pickup
2.1.3 Ted Kaufman of Delaware Democratic hold
2.1.4 Christopher Dodd of Connecticut Weak Democrat

2.2 Retiring Republican Senators

2.2.1 Kit Bond of Missouri Safe Republican
2.2.2 Sam Brownback of Kansas Safe Republican
2.2.3 Jim Bunning of Kentucky Safe Republican
2.2.4 Judd Gregg of New Hampshire Weak Chance Dem pickup
2.2.5 George LeMieux of Florida Weak Republican
2.2.6 George Voinovich of Ohio Weak Republican

2.3 Democratic incumbents

2.3.1 Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas Republican Pickup
2.3.2 Barbara Boxer of California Safe Democrat
2.3.3 Michael Bennet of Colorado Republican pickup
2.3.4 Daniel Inouye of Hawaii Safe Democrat
2.3.5 Evan Bayh of Indiana Safe Democrat
2.3.6 Barbara Mikulski of Maryland Weak Democrat
2.3.7 Harry Reid of Nevada Republican Pickup
2.3.8 Kirsten Gillibrand of New York Weak Democratic
2.3.9 Chuck Schumer of New York Safe Democratic
2.3.10 Ron Wyden of Oregon Weak Democratic
2.3.11 Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania Safe Democratic
2.3.12 Patrick Leahy of Vermont Safe Democratic
2.3.13 Patty Murray of Washington Weak Democratic
2.3.14 Russ Feingold of Wisconsin Safe Democratic

2.4 Republican incumbents

2.4.1 Richard Shelby of Alabama Safe Republican
2.4.2 Lisa Murkowski of Alaska Safe Republican
2.4.3 John McCain of Arizona Safe Republican
2.4.4 Johnny Isakson of Georgia Safe Republican
2.4.5 Mike Crapo of Idaho Safe Republican
2.4.6 Chuck Grassley of Iowa Safe Republican
2.4.7 David Vitter of Louisiana Weak chance of Dem pickup
2.4.8 Richard Burr of North Carolina Safe Republican
2.4.9 Tom Coburn of Oklahoma Safe Republican
2.4.10 Jim DeMint of South Carolina Safe Republican
2.4.11 John Thune of South Dakota Safe Republican
2.4.12 Bob Bennett of Utah Safe Republican
post #29 of 128
I am predicting 5 pickup seats plus 5 weak democrats in the election. Again the most the republicans will get is 50-50 in the Senate. If Lieberman defects then they get 51-49
post #30 of 128
Thread Starter 
Dodd isn't seeking reelection.
post #31 of 128
Colorado Democratic Governor Bill Ritter won't seek re-election. Could be pivitol since Colorado is a big swing state now.
post #32 of 128
Quote:
2.4.4 Johnny Isakson of Georgia
My response as a resident of Georgia: Bleah. The three guys they've got in the House and Senate will never leave. Tom Price especially aggravates me. He's voted against virtually every single thing that's come up since Obama was elected. EVERY SINGLE THING. Even stuff that Isakson and Chambliss voted "yea" on. That's not exactly bi-partisan politics.
post #33 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cuchulain View Post
Dodd isn't seeking reelection.
Yep. Oddly enough, this is the best chance the Democrats have to hold the seat. Dodd was absolutely toast. Anyone not named Chris Dodd running as a Democrat will have a better chance to hold the seat.
post #34 of 128
Edited my predictions for Dodd's retiring. Like JVC, I believe that Dodd's retiring makes the seat more likely to go democratic.

Ned Lamont should run for Dodd's seat as "The guy you fuckers should have elected in 2006 instead of Joe Lieberman."
post #35 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rourkefan View Post
My Predictions! 18 of the seats are held by democrats and 18 by republicans

2 Overview of races

2.1 Retiring Democratic Senators

2.1.3 Ted Kaufman of Delaware Democratic hold
2.1.4 Christopher Dodd of Connecticut Weak Democrat

2.2 Retiring Republican Senators

2.2.1 Kit Bond of Missouri Safe Republican

2.3 Democratic incumbents

2.3.11 Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania Safe Democratic
Pretty good predictions. These are your only predictions that I think may be off. Castle in Delaware will be tough to beat, even for Beau Biden. Polling is pretty even there right now. Obviously, the game changes in Connecticut with Dodd retiring, but he was polling well behind at least 3 different Republican challengers.

Robin Carnahan stands a really good chance of turning the Missouri seat into a Democratic pick-up. She is polling evenly with Roy Blunt right now. Specter is polling well ahead of Sestak in the primary, but is pretty even with Toomey in the general election polls. This one will be tough for Specter, but he may get more begrudging support from the left one Sestak is out of the race.
post #36 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rourkefan View Post
Edited my predictions for Dodd's retiring. Like JVC, I believe that Dodd's retiring makes the seat more likely to go democratic.

Ned Lamont should run for Dodd's seat as "The guy you fuckers should have elected in 2006 instead of Joe Lieberman."
The AG is gonna run in Dodd's place, and he has a ridiculous 70+% approval rating in the state. Dems'll keep the seat.

Now, this...

Worst RNC cash flow in a decade

Quote:
A 2009 spending spree has left the Republican National Committee (RNC) with its worst election-year cash flow this decade.

The largest GOP party committee has $8.7 million in the bank heading into an election year with 37 governors’ races, a dozen major Senate contests, dozens more in the House and an all-important redistricting cycle on the horizon.

Said one RNC official: “It is very troubling, and the thing is, most people don’t understand this. But it is really troubling.”

The RNC had $22.8 million in cash and no debt when Michael Steele was elected chairman at the end of January, but has since seen its cash on hand drop to less than $9 million at the end of November.

Over the previous five months, while governors’ battles were being waged in New Jersey and Virginia, the committee saw its cash reserves drop by a full $15 million. Through November, the committee spent more than $90 million last year, which is nearly $20 million more than the Democratic National Committee (DNC).

“They’re spending money at 2002 levels when they are not raising money at those levels,” said a GOP operative. “That kind of thing worked when RNC was awash in money, but you can’t do that in this environment.”
Also, I dunno if it was mentioned, but Steele himself said he doesn't think the GOP will take back the House this year, much less the Senate.

I really hope the fucking Dems get their goddamn act together by 2012.
post #37 of 128
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by BTSMGL View Post
The AG is gonna run in Dodd's place, and he has a ridiculous 70+% approval rating in the state. Dems'll keep the seat.

Now, this...

Worst RNC cash flow in a decade



Also, I dunno if it was mentioned, but Steele himself said he doesn't think the GOP will take back the House this year, much less the Senate.

I really hope the fucking Dems get their goddamn act together by 2012.
People say Palin was the best gift the Republicans gave the Democrats in recent memory. I totally disagree. Unless you were both an Alaskan and intelligent, you couldn't really tell that Palin was a horrible choice for VP until she actually opened her mouth on national television. Michael Steele, on the other hand, is a disaster on paper. His CV should be the fucking word "disaster" in bold and 30 point font. The day he was announced as the new head of the RNC, my friends and I were laughing and giving each other high fives.
post #38 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by BTSMGL View Post
Also, I dunno if it was mentioned, but Steele himself said he doesn't think the GOP will take back the House this year, much less the Senate.

I really hope the fucking Dems get their goddamn act together by 2012.
Why? What good has the Democrats done to warrant them to succeed?
post #39 of 128
I think people are disgusted with everyone at this point, so everyone's in danger. The fact that the majority are Democrats is bad for Democrats, but this isn't aimed at a specific party. It's aimed at everyone. Hell, I feel the same way in a lot of ways.
post #40 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke View Post
Why? What good has the Democrats done to warrant them to succeed?
I'm a liberal. I'm firmly entrenched in the left wing of the political spectrum. I'm an atheist, almost to the point of being militant about it, and on that level (and many others) the Democratic Party attracts me (obviously I'm referring to the fact that they're more liberal when it comes to religion). I don't love it 100%, especially goddamn recently, but I sure as shit don't want the GOP anywhere near winning lots of power in government. I pretty much loathe and stand against everything they stand for, and the characters in their lineup don't help matters. I think I've made peace with the fact that I'm ridicuously partisan, and if that implicates something negative about me, then so be it.

And, I happen to think they've done lots of good in the past 12 months. Hell, I wish John Kerry had won in 2004. Choke on that one a bit.

So, there. Question answered? Good, then go back to doing whatever it is you do on this forum.
post #41 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alan "Nordling" Cerny View Post
I think people are disgusted with everyone at this point, so everyone's in danger. The fact that the majority are Democrats is bad for Democrats, but this isn't aimed at a specific party. It's aimed at everyone. Hell, I feel the same way in a lot of ways.
I'm actually hopeful (that means it won't happen, unfortunatly) for a large indepentant win. I think that would be fantastic.
post #42 of 128
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke View Post
I'm actually hopeful (that means it won't happen, unfortunatly) for a large indepentant win. I think that would be fantastic.
Good news! You got exactly that in the last election cycle with the election of Barack Obama.
post #43 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by BTSMGL View Post
I'm a liberal. I'm firmly entrenched in the left wing of the political spectrum. I'm an atheist, almost to the point of being militant about it, and on that level (and many others) the Democratic Party attracts me (obviously I'm referring to the fact that they're more liberal when it comes to religion). I don't love it 100%, especially goddamn recently, but I sure as shit don't want the GOP anywhere near winning lots of power in government. I pretty much loathe and stand against everything they stand for, and the characters in their lineup don't help matters. I think I've made peace with the fact that I'm ridicuously partisan, and if that implicates something negative about me, then so be it.

And, I happen to think they've done lots of good in the past 12 months. Hell, I wish John Kerry had won in 2004. Choke on that one a bit.

So, there. Question answered? Good, then go back to doing whatever it is you do on this forum.
Oh, I apologize. You're from Puerto Rico... I thought your opinion mattered. My bad.
post #44 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke View Post
Oh, I apologize. You're from Puerto Rico... I thought your opinion matter. My bad.
Well, I'm moving to NYC in about 8 months and registering, so it'll matter in not too long.
post #45 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by BTSMGL View Post
Well, I'm moving to NYC in about 8 months and registering, so it'll matter in not too long.
Not really, if you're moving there in 8 months you wont be able to vote.
post #46 of 128
Thread Starter 
Wow, he's wildly uniformed and xenophobic. Awesome.
post #47 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke View Post
Not really, if you're moving there in 8 months you wont be able to vote.
I only need to be a resident for "at least" 30 days to be eligible to vote. So, yes, I will.
post #48 of 128
See, what's going to happen is that a lot of people like me who voted Obama (and I don't regret that at all) will stay home. A lot of us voted the way we did because we wanted to give the Democrats carte blanche to do what they said they wanted to do for years. And in a lot of ways, they've fixed as much as they could. Shit ain't glamorous, but they did it. However, I didn't vote for just that. I wanted universal health care. I was promised that fight. It didn't happen. So yeah, I'm disheartened.
post #49 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by BTSMGL View Post
I only need to be a resident for "at least" 30 days to be eligible to vote. So, yes, I will.
I don't know why, but I thought 8 months from now would be October and if you added 30 days it would be past the November voting deadline. So yet again, my bad.
post #50 of 128
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snaieke View Post
I don't know why, but I thought 8 months from now would be October and if you added 30 days it would be past the November voting deadline.
"8 months from now" means August, if you're counting the current month. By the time classes start in September, I'll be ready to register.
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:
  Return Home
  Back to Forum: Political Discourse
CHUD.com Community › Forums › POLITICS & RELIGION › Political Discourse › 2010 Midterm Elections