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The 2010 Oscar Season - Page 2

post #51 of 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by Erik Wacker View Post

Real talk: I find all this talk about the Academy being sour on Aronofsky to be really disconcerting. Black Swan is easily the best movie of the year as far as I'm concerned.
I think it's the fact that he's an indie filmmaker who's had a chance to go mainstream but refuses and they don't like that. I don't mean selling out, but he doesn't play ball in Hollywood. The redheaded stepchild. He's too fringe for them, too experimental. I think he'll start getting nominated after The Wolverine though.
post #52 of 85
Completely forgot Beloved Hollywood Icon (TM) Michael Douglas has the "I beat cancer, damnit" card going for him this year.
post #53 of 85
The two sets of Best Original Score nominations I've seen (Broadcast Film Critics and Golden Globes) have completely ignored How to Train Your Dragon, so I'm not getting my hopes up for Powell getting an Oscar nod.
post #54 of 85
The Golden Globe nods came out today, and they are fucked as usual. The Tourist for Best Comedy/Musical? Muahahaaa.
post #55 of 85
More like Durr Durrist, amirite?
post #56 of 85
The words "Alice in Wonderland" appear far too often on that nomination list.
post #57 of 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by Patrick Ripoll View Post
Aronofsky's movies are too weird to be Oscar material and too painfully earnest to be universally adored by critics. The Wrestler got the actor nod, and so will Swan get the actress, but until he starts toning down everything that makes his films so Nofsky, he's not going to be the Academy's favorite.
I love that "Nofsky" is now an adjective.

I'm more optimistic than most and think Black Swan is a shoo-in Best Picture nomination. Might not have been with just five noms, but with ten, I think it's in for sure.
post #58 of 85
If Beck gets nominated for Best Song, it should be for "Ramona". That song has been stuck in my head for the past few months, while I couldn't care less for most of the Sex Bob-omb songs.
post #59 of 85
Ramona might be more Academy-friendly, but I'd personally love it if Threshold got to rock the house down, something I haven't seen the Oscars properly do since Bellville Rendezvous in 2003.
post #60 of 85
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Dickson View Post
The two sets of Best Original Score nominations I've seen (Broadcast Film Critics and Golden Globes) have completely ignored How to Train Your Dragon, so I'm not getting my hopes up for Powell getting an Oscar nod.
Thing is, the nominees at the Oscars are determined by the Music branch members of the Academy. So the BFCA and Globe nods mean jack shit to what gets nominated for Original Score at the Oscars. Besides, it looks like many of the big Best Picture contenders' scores may be disqualified due to bafflingly strict Academy bylaws. Black Swan, True Grit, The King's Speech, and The Social Network are ALL in danger of having their scores disqualified. Powell could very well get a nod if all of those four are disqualified.
post #61 of 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by Admiral Shark View Post
Thing is, the nominees at the Oscars are determined by the Music branch members of the Academy. So the BFCA and Globe nods mean jack shit to what gets nominated for Original Score at the Oscars. Besides, it looks like many of the big Best Picture contenders' scores may be disqualified due to bafflingly strict Academy bylaws. Black Swan, True Grit, The King's Speech, and The Social Network are ALL in danger of having their scores disqualified. Powell could very well get a nod if all of those four are disqualified.
Paving the way for Zimmer to coast to victory. Or, dare I suggest it, Daft Punk?
post #62 of 85
I'm gonna make some predictions now, pretty much from the hip, just so I have a record of them when I'm inevitably 100% right about everything in two months. Winners in Bold.

PICTURE: Social Network, King's Speech, Black Swan, True Grit, Inception, The Fighter, The Town, 127 Hours, The Kids Are All Right, Toy Story 3

DIRECTOR: Darren Aronofsky, Tom Hooper, David Fincher, Danny Boyle, Christopher Nolan

ACTOR: Jeff Bridges, Colin Firth, Jesse Eisenberg, James Franco, Mark Wahlberg

ACTRESS: Natalie Portman, Annette Bening, Nicole Kidman, Jennifer Lawrence, Julianne Moore

SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christian Bale, Andrew Garfield, Geoffrey Rush, John Hawkes, Michael Douglas

SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Hailee Steinfeld, Helena Bonham Carter, Barbara Hershey, Melissa Leo, Jackie Weaver

The Supporting categories are tough to call. Not sure about Hawkes, but I want him to get it, so in he goes. Also, I wouldn't be shocked in Douglas snuck into Actor for Solitary Man, but then, he'd need a push.
post #63 of 85
Can't see how The Town gets into Best Pic, esp. with The Fighter representing BAWston. Hopefully that last slot goes to Winter's Bone.
post #64 of 85
Thread Starter 
I'm torn because I love The Town and Winter's Bone, but I love Winter's Bone more, so hoping it gets in.
Anyway, Arjen, for supporting Actor I have Rush, Bale, and Garfield, but I think the other two are Jeremy Renner for The Town and Mark Ruffalo for The Kids Are All Right. Douglas has no chance in hell. And Amy Adams will also get in for The Town, not Hershey. But other than that, looks correct.
post #65 of 85
Amy Adams is in The Town? Must've missed that.
post #66 of 85
Thread Starter 
oops, I mean The Fighter.
post #67 of 85
I was hoping JGL would get some love for Hesher in Supporting Actor. I have some problems with the overall movie, but he was brilliant in that flick. Is the film in contention this Oscar season?
post #68 of 85
Has that even played anywhere outside of festivals?
post #69 of 85
Hailee Stansfield has that baldie in the bag if the early reviews are to be believed. Academy folks lovelovelove the tykes winning Best Supporting gongs.
post #70 of 85
post #71 of 85
I'd love to see Hawkes take away every award he could carry but I think Bale's going to steal them all away. I haven't seen The Fighter, and I'm sure Bale is every bit as amazing as people say he is, but Hawkes is so off the radar that I don't know if he has as many chances left as Bale.

And I'd love Lawrence to get all the accolades too but it seems like Portman's year. Having seen Black Swan, I certainly couldn't blame anyone for awarding Portman. She's stunning. But Winter's Bone is the little movie that could and I'd love to see it get attention.
post #72 of 85
A lot of the actors in Winter's Bone were so good it's easy to forget they were acting. It blew my mind when I realized that Dale Dickey, who played the terrifying matriarch, used to be Patty The Daytime Hooker on 'My Name Is Earl'.
post #73 of 85
Man what a tough year for directors, a repeat of 2008 it seems...two filmmakers who make their masterpieces in the same year. In 2008 it was the Coens and PT Anderson. This year it's Fincher, Aronofsky and to a lesser extent (IMHO), Nolan (while Inception is great, it's too flawed to compete with the other candidates)...Nolan is REALLY handicapped by his inability to properly shoot action. And you can't just gloss over something so paramount to the film's genre expectations....that's why I'm giving Nolan a lower mark.

Fincher has this in the bag though, as The Social Network is easier to swallow for the prude academy.
post #74 of 85
Now that I've pretty much seen everything, I already doubt everything I guessed above. King's Speech ain't winning no best picture. Bale should have it in the bag, and likely Portman too. I can't imagine Social Network not being the big winner, and it's nice that it actually is what I'd consider the best picture of the year.
post #75 of 85
I'm really curious to see how well Blue Valentine fares at the Oscars.

While its heady nature will scare off the Globes, I want to see if the Academy defies expectations and tosses a few extras towards it.
post #76 of 85
Ambler, you crazy. The action in INCEPTION works like gangbusters.
post #77 of 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrew Merriweather View Post
Ambler, you crazy. The action in INCEPTION works like gangbusters.
Seconded. The action sequences in INCEPTION were clear, easy to follow, and filmed with style.

I can only hope this spills over to TDKR....
post #78 of 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrew Merriweather View Post
Ambler, you crazy. The action in INCEPTION works like gangbusters.
I was mostly talking about the snow sequence, which takes up a large chunk of the movie and is poorly handled. Even the other action sequences aren't shot all that great, with the exception of the hallway fight, but that was so carefully choreographed because of the rotating set, it HAD to be shot well. See any James Cameron movie to get an idea of action shot and staged with incredible effectiveness. Nolan can't shoot action and he essentially made a sci-fi action thriller. This is why I can't get behind him for an oscar.

PS - I think he just isn't confident with action scenes, which is why they feel so flat and underdeveloped to me...he basically moves the camera alot with handheld, randomly shooting stuff to give an air of chaotic action, but it has no finesse or focus. Just my opinion.
post #79 of 85
The van chase takes up a similar amount of time, and it's exhilarating. And I'll take the best Call of Duty boss mission ever over the re-warmed and re-heated "action" sequences of Avatar.
post #80 of 85
Well, it's looking more and more like the scores for True Grit and Black Swan are going to be ruled ineligible due to their heavy use of pre-existing music.
post #81 of 85
Sucks, but it's Zimmer's regardless of who else is nominated.
post #82 of 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greg Clark View Post
The van chase takes up a similar amount of time, and it's exhilarating. And I'll take the best Call of Duty boss mission ever over the re-warmed and re-heated "action" sequences of Avatar.
ANY film but Avatar That's my least favorite Cameron film. I think he handicapped himself with all the CG.
post #83 of 85
NY Times critics pick their choices for the major nominees:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...f=awardsseason
post #84 of 85
Are they still doing 10 films for Best Picture?
post #85 of 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Dickson View Post
Well, it's looking more and more like the scores for True Grit and Black Swan are going to be ruled ineligible due to their heavy use of pre-existing music.
Is there a certain percentage mark of pre-existing music which makes them inelligible? Because SOCIAL NETWORK reuses/remixes pieces from NIN's Ghosts album but somehow was deemed eligible. Wasn't the THERE WILL BE BLOOD score denied for that very reason?
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