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2012 Budget

post #1 of 174
Thread Starter 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-14/obama-to-submit-3-7-trillion-budget-republicans-promise-to-oppose-plan.html

 

 

 

Quote:

President Barack Obama will send Congress a $3.7 trillion budget that would reduce deficits by $1.1 trillion over a decade, setting up a battle with Republicans who have already deemed the plan insufficient to reduce federal debt.

 

The budget falls short of the deficit reduction that Obama’s fiscal commission proposed in December and would have only a modest impact on the $12 trillion in total deficits the Congressional Budget Office projects the government will run up over the next 10 years. That’s primarily because Obama isn’t proposing changes for Medicare, Medicaid or Social Security, the entitlement programs that represent about 40 percent of the budget and are primary drivers of long-term deficits.

 


 

Really sore about the fact that he's not putting the tax code change front and center.

post #2 of 174

 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703361904576143253522341850.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories

Quote:
 

“If government debt and deficits were actually to grow at the pace envisioned, the economic and financial effects would be severe,” Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told the House Budget Committee Feb. 9. “Sustained high rates of government borrowing would both drain funds away from private investment and increase our debt to foreigners, with adverse long-run effects on U.S. output, incomes, and standards of living.”


That's one of the scariest things you will ever read, you know, aside from an M Night Shyamalan script.

post #3 of 174

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2011/02/president-obamas-budget-and-the-pending-budget-fight.html

 

 

Quote:
 Among the tax increases proposed:

•    ending subsidies for oil and gas companies ($46 billion/10 years); and

•    reducing the rate at which those in the highest tax bracket and some people in the second highest bracket can itemize tax deductions in areas such as interest on home mortgages and charitable giving

The Obama administration is also proposing letting expire after 2012 the lower Bush tax rates on income over $200,000 for an individual $250,000 for a family but they are not including this revenue when projecting the $1.1 trillion in deficit reduction.

Among the spending freezes/cuts:

•    a five-year spending freeze over non-security-related discretionary spending ($400 billion/10 years);

•    cutting $300 million in Community Block Grants, which help cities and counties fund low income housing and anti-poverty programs;

•    cutting the low-income heating assistance program (LIHEAP) in half, or by $2.5 billion;

•    cutting $125 million from the Great Lakes Restoration Initiative;

•    cutting more than $1 billion in grants to large airports;

•    cutting $950 million in states’ funds for water treatment plants and other infrastructure; and

•    having the Pentagon budget grow at just the rate of inflation would cut $78 billion

At no point in the president’s 10-year projection would the U.S. government spend less than it's taking in.

The budget would bring down the percentage that the debt is of GDP from this year's astronomical 10.9 percent to 3.2 percent in 2015. Administration officials say that by 2017 the projected deficit ($627 billion) would consist entirely of the interest on the current debt.

The administration is proposing that the annual Medicare “Doc Fix” be paid for through changes to Medicare that include reductions in payments to hospitals and the increased use of generic drugs. The reductions in itemized tax deductions for higher wage-earners would pay for the annual adjustment of the alternative minimum tax so it doesn’t impact middle class households.
 

 

Now here's the intereting thing from the ABC News article... at no point in the President's 10-year projection would the US spend less than it is taking in .. yet if you believe the Obama administration in just 5 short years the only deficits we'll have are going to be paying interest on the current debt.

 

Should be a very interesting few weeks.

post #4 of 174

Oh please, ending Bush tax cuts for rich + closing corporate loopholes, including offshore tax shelters + end subsidies for big oil + cut military budget = problem solved.

 

Why does everything have to be done on the backs of the poor?  I'm sickened by the way the debate has shifted from 'how can we improve the economy and jobs' to 'how many services for the poor and working poor can we cut in order to keep our tax cuts for the rich and big corporations.' 

 

ps.  The fastest, most effective solve, of course, would be a single-payer healthcare system, which would turn the deficit into a surplus in a few short years. 

post #5 of 174

The Bush tax cuts for the rich equals about $36 billion a year... our PROJECTED deficit for next fiscal year is 1.1 trillion, so now you're down to 1.08 trillion in deficits... according to the ABC article and Obama's own numbers... Big oil subsides = 4.6 billion a year so now you're down to 1.075 and the DoD voluntarily removed 78 billion from their future budgets (over 5 years)for projects they no longer wanted.. so we're at say, a trillion dollars now (we'll say they all happen next year)

 

There are a trillion dollars in tax loopholes and offshore shelters annually!? HOLY FUCK!

 

/s

post #6 of 174

It would be absolutely fascinating to see Snaieke's theoretical budget issues if we hadn't elected Obama.

post #7 of 174

I kind of hate the new site. Double post.

post #8 of 174

You elected a lemon, Jacob. I understand you being bitter.

 

I've said it before and I'll say it again. I'm for tax increases, everywhere.. as long as there is spending cuts, everywhere. I'm for tarriffs on imports from countries like China. What I want and what will happen are vastly different things..

 

You catch Trumps interview on CNN about this? good times.

post #9 of 174

Snaieke, a) where are you getting your figures?; and b) add in single-payer.  Single-payer countries pay half what we do on health care yet have better outcomes. 

 

Also, when you've only bashed Obama since his emergence, your opinion on him now is hardly relevant.  Even if he walked on water and turned loaves into fishes, righties like you would still call him a lemon. 

 

ETA: I'm with you on tariffs.  Look up the percentage of govt revenue based on tariffs before and after around 1980. 

post #10 of 174

YT, I don't have to add in anything... you're talking about something that is not a reality. We'll never have a single payer health care system in America.. if you couldn't get it passed with a Democratic super majority .. it ain't happening. Subject is moot. The figures are on this very page and I've had this exact same discussion with you in the economy thread.. unfortunately you just don't read it, I guess and it isn't worth my valuable time to break down everything every other post with you. I mean... most everything was on this very page and you didn't even read it. (see quote below)... I'm for eliminating the Bush tax cuts for the middle class, that is 3 trillion over 10 years or 300 billion a year. I just don't see that happening either, because politicians want to be elected and people aren't ready for those hard decisions. 

 

I mean, seriously... this is the only budget before an election year. You think Obama or anyone who is up for election is going to increase taxes or make those hard spending cuts during an election year? I don't. Congress punted the budget during an election year and pushed off the Bush tax cuts until the lame duck session... that pretty much answers any questions on what 2012 is going to look like. Right now, the GOP is saber rattling about spending cuts and calling our debt the new Red Menace... if ever there was a time to readdress the tax code to hold politicians feet to the proverbial fire and force their rhetoric to meet policy.. now is that time. I'd love the hell out of Obama if he ACTUALLY addressed our deficits, not just talk but action... as it stands now I'm seeing a net increase in spending and a net increase in debt from when he took over office and talk of deficit reduction is just a smoke and mirror show. We're past the point where we'll see how effective Obama is at budgets or spending or whatever... this is it. This budget is going to be what we judge for the 2012 elections and it is falling far short of what needs to be done.*

  

Quote:
    ending subsidies for oil and gas companies ($46 billion/10 years);

 

ETA.

 

Let's also not forget that Obama had a deficit commission that was supposed to come up with answers for our future debt and deficits and he swore that they would come back in November 2010 (after the election, how convenient) with their finding and that he would have congress put them to work! Well that deadline came and went... the commission came up with 4 trillion dollars in cuts and this would be the budget to enact those findings... now, there isn't exactly a whole lot of details available on the budget outside of the links on this page but it seems a far cry short of what that commissions recommended, which begs the point of the commission and the time wasted waiting for their findings.

 

 

* for those of you that don't know.. this budget if \ when passed will take effect October 2011 for the October 2011 to September 2012 fiscal calander year.

post #11 of 174

Snaieke, the public is overwhelmingly for ending tax cuts for the superrich and closing corporate loopholes.  It's only the GOP in Congress that insists on them, the Senate to be specific.  It's worth noting that there never was a Dem majority in the Senate because the GOP's unprecedented abuse of the filibuster.  If it had been a true super majority, we may not have had single-payer but we'd probably have a public option. 

post #12 of 174

Anyone hear an elephant in the room? No? Just me?

post #13 of 174

Anyone notice the aneurysm taking place in the House right now?  Republicans are trying to slash and burn every program they hate under the pretext of fiscal responsibility.  Meanwhile here are the numbers:

 

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/10/12/special-bulletin-fractions-have-denominators/

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/10/17/why-have-deficits-exploded/

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/02/18/realism-on-defense-spending/

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/budget/longtermfact2.cfm
post #14 of 174

 It is sickening.  It's like a manufactured shock doctrine on steroids.  I really hope that public opinion turns on these clowns and they're left with their corporate sponsorships and their "don't tread on me" flags. 

post #15 of 174
Here's an intriguing idea to reduce the deficit, which hasn't been discussed much: Privitisation.

http://www.newsweek.com/2011/02/20/sale-of-the-century.html
post #16 of 174
Thread Starter 

Somewhere outside of Los Angeles yt's head just exploded.

post #17 of 174
Heh. I'm not saying it's a magic fix but it would be a start. Although i assume there's a reason why nobody is considering selling off assets. Union opposition maybe?
post #18 of 174
Thread Starter 

I would assume union opposition would be a big part.

 

I know I brought up the idea of privatizing highways a while back, but I was immediately met with the "well then whats stopping us from doing that to the the police and fire department!?!?!" argument.

 

post #19 of 174
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Closer View Post

Somewhere outside of Los Angeles yt's head just exploded.



Boom!  :)

 

It's not an intriguing idea, Bluelouboyle, it's yet more wealth redistribution to the top.  And opposition has nothing to do with unionization.  It has to do with taxpayer investment -- the land, the engineering, the labor involved, the maintenance-- all the millions in taxpayer money invested in our public properties given away to private corporations for a song so they can rent it back to us at monopoly prices?  I blame the lack of civics education in schools for the utter self-destructive streak of Americans who see selling off hard-fought, dearly paid-for public property as some kind of ^%&^ing bargain.  Sorry to be cranky about it. 

post #20 of 174

yea, I don't know why anyone would think giving corporations a monopoly over critical infrastructure like highways is a good idea.  Really, guys?

post #21 of 174
Thread Starter 

Why not?  Theyre all over Asia and Europe.

post #22 of 174

So you want to convert all our highways into a series of toll roads?!?!?

 

What are we trying to solve again?

post #23 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by ElCapitanAmerica View Post

So you want to convert all our highways into a series of toll roads?!?!?

 

What are we trying to solve again?


When did I say that?

 

I realize that in order for something like this to work, you need to ensure competition.  Hence the reason why UPS and FedEx are equally awesome.

 

You create competition between public roads and roads handled by a variety of different private entities.

post #24 of 174

How do the private entities make money from their roads if they're not charging tolls?

 

They force you to stop every 15 minutes and watch holographic ads on your dashboard?

post #25 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by ElCapitanAmerica View Post

How do the private entities make money from their roads if they're not charging tolls?

 

They force you to stop every 15 minutes and watch holographic ads on your dashboard?



There are tolls all around here in Chicago.  They have an I-Pass system set up, so in 5 out of the 6 lanes you just drive right through without stopping.

 

I dont think people understand the conditions that come along with these types of leases that prevent any greedy corporate abuse.  Limits on toll hikes arent the only things.  Here in Chicago on the Skybridge, the city has the right to take the road back if potholes arent completely filled within 24 hours, roadkill sits out on the road longer than 6 hours, etc.

 

You lease out one road with competing highways and impose a lot of conditions that protect the travelers.  What's so bad about that?

post #26 of 174

There's a trial going on right now of a judge who sent kids to private prisons for a million dollars in kickbacks.  We spend on military contractors many times what we pay troops to perform services overseas, yet we have no quality control, no oversight of these people who engage in things like rape, sex trafficking, manslaughter, murder and an insane degree of fraud.  With troops performing these duties, they can always pick up their arms and fight if they have to, but we have to pay for more contractors to protect the contractors we're already paying for.  Privatization takes the money we all pay as taxpayers and hands it over to corrupt people who enjoy corrupt relationships with public officials.

 

Privatization of parking meters in Chicago yielded a steep increase in costs and inefficiency as the machines couldn't handle the level of use.  Also, the private companies added weekends and 24 hour days to its schedule.

 

Privatization of any public service or property is something every taxpayer should be passionately against.  It's only when we forget all that came before, all the blood, sweat and tears that went into creating a livable, functional commons, that people will buy this longterm goal of big business to convince us that it's a good "idea" to sell it off. 

post #27 of 174

Yeah, rising gas prices are not enough, we need to charge people for road access more.

post #28 of 174
I always chuckle when people in the US complain about high gas prices. Try living in the UK, mate.

Yt, privitieation is not evil. Sure, some have been bungled - British rail in the 90s - and there is undoubtably some corruption. But lots of privitised services are efficient and reliable. In principle, it can work. If you get a good price, why not? If Amtrak is running at a loss, wasting public money, sell it.
post #29 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by yt View Post

 

Privatization of parking meters in Chicago yielded a steep increase in costs and inefficiency as the machines couldn't handle the level of use.  Also, the private companies added weekends and 24 hour days to its schedule.


As a resident of Chicago, I'd have to challenge this.  The machines are probably the most efficient parking meters I've ever seen.  Sure, the cost went up a buck or so to park in a prime location during specific times of the day, but IMO the vast increase in parking areas makes up for that.

 

And yeah, not all privatization ideas are as bad as you make them out to be.  You can talk about an isolated prison case all day long, but that doesnt change the fact that with the right circumstances and the correct amount of oversight, things like this could really work out.

post #30 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by ElCapitanAmerica View Post

Yeah, rising gas prices are not enough, we need to charge people for road access more.



Yeah, we should just raise the gasoline tax instead.

 

 

You saw where I mentioned competition, right?  When we lived in L.A., my wife and I had the option of using the 73 toll road on our trips down to San Diego.  Could we have gotten there using simply the 5?  Sure, but we didnt mind paying $3 to get there 25 minutes sooner with a nicer drive.

 

Those who didnt see the need or have the means to pay $3 could take the 5 as 75% of the people do now.

post #31 of 174

Simply put, privatisation almost always favours the rich over the poor in some way. That's a gross generalisation obviously, but I feel it's a pretty solid jumping off point.

post #32 of 174

The Closer and Bluelouboyle, you will never convince me that privatization of public services and property is a good thing.  I believe that when we the taxpayers invest in things over a long period of time, it's unscrupulous and unfair to allow politicians to sell them off in times of real or perceived crisis at distress sale prices.  Sorry.  Public institutions have some responsibility to the public trust; private companies do not, and have proved many times over that they're interested in profit over all over considerations, that they see everything as a commodity, and that they will use up that commodity until exhaustion or collapse.  There aren't many George Baileys left, at least in this country; they're all Potters.

 

Bluelou, I agree with you about the price of gas.  Americans are deluded about the true cost.

post #33 of 174
Thread Starter 

Well then yt, I'd like to ask for your alternatives.  Let's use my state of Illinois, which is routinely compared to Greece as far as financial strength is concerned right now, as an example:

 

We just raised the state income tax by 66%.  We also raised the corporate tax rate along with it.  I highly doubt I'm going to hear anything from you that even mentions the public sector.  Democrats have been in control of both legislative chambers and the governors office since 2003, and now the state has roughly $5 billion worth of bills to pay.

 

Of course, lawmakers were fine with a 66% tax increase (ON THE MIDDLE CLASS!!!!) but they quickly voted down a $1 per pack cigarette tax increase.

 

speed.jpg

 

What do you do?

 

 

 

Please dont say "just keep increasing the corporate tax rate."  Let's try thinking of some viable solutions here.

 

 

ETA I'm being sincere when I ask.  I tend to never agree with what you're saying (and vice versa, obviously) but that doesn't mean I'm not interested in hearing it.

post #34 of 174

Let me backtrack for a minute.  Who pays for the massive fraud perpetrated by Wall St. (I'm not talking about you here; you know who I'm talking about) that did such a number on the housing market and threw state budgets into chaos?  Who pays for the massive outsourcing that reduced state income taxes to a trickle?  These are widespread problems that were caused by uber-capitalists and then have to be solved by the public sector. 

 

I think this country (maybe the world -- except for a few places like Germany and North Dakota) need to reinterpret the narrative about a) trickle down economics and b) globalization of markets. 

 

I have to look into Illinois' situation to give any kind of rational response, which I will do.  I can see with what we're doing in California that corporations pay almost no taxes and revenue is kind of the real problem here. 

post #35 of 174

I'm not sure what problem you are all trying to solve here. You're saying it's a given a private entity can manage a highway better than a government agency? Why?

 

Better marketing department?

post #36 of 174
Thread Starter 

Its a financial problem were trying to solve.

 

If the state of Illinois can lease out a highway for 50 years and make $1.5 billion doing so, and the lease includes hundreds of provisions that protect the citizens that use said highway, my point is that it may be something to look in to.

post #37 of 174

If people had to spend $12 a day driving from the burbs to the city on I-94 you'd be singing a different tune.

post #38 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JuddL View Post

If people had to spend $12 a day driving from the burbs to the city on I-94 you'd be singing a different tune.



Does everyone here think that I or anyone else is advocating simply handing over all of our major highways to private companies, without conditions, and letting them charge what they want?

 

post #39 of 174

Isn't 294 $3 at each toll?

post #40 of 174

Selling off the highways is just more shock doctrine.

 

The bottom line, I think, is this.  When you have thirty years of lobbying and campaign contributions that chip away at the amount of weight corporations and the very rich have to pull in keeping our services running, and codify completely unethical and unfair practices (like big banks borrowing at zero interest from us the taxpayers and then turning around and loaning it back to us with interest, hedge funds helping themselves to huge chunks of pensions and savings, corporations using tax shelter post office boxes to dodge taxes, etc.), you end up with a huge, dysfunctional imbalance.  This has to be corrected for our economy to function on a national and local level.  The middle class cannot be simultaneously squeezed and locked out and then expected to carry the weight of all the taxes the rich and the corporations aren't paying. 

 

The way I look at it is this: corporate taxes aren't a burden, they're a privilege.  This is a country that allowed those billionaires to achieve that degree of prosperity.  It is their duty to pull their weight.  If they don't like it, they can move to Zimbabwe and good f&&&ing riddance.  Entrepreneurs will take their place who practice a more local model.  That would be a healthy development.  Big corporations have had a free ride since Reagan came into office and stopped enforcing the Sherman Anti-Trust Act.  It's been a long accumulation of power and privilege since then.  That needs to be rolled back. 

post #41 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JuddL View Post

Isn't 294 $3 at each toll?



Not sure...only the poor, unwashed masses live outside of the city and I dont associate with them.

 

I did take the 355 and the 88 out to the Aurora outlets this weekend to stock of on some cheap J Crew, and the 355 was $1 while the 88 was $.80.

 

ETA looks like the 294 is between $.15-$.50 via I-Pass.  Didnt realize that those on Medicare get an additional discount on their I-Pass as well.

post #42 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by yt View Post

Selling off the highways is just more shock doctrine.

 

The bottom line, I think, is this.  When you have thirty years of lobbying and campaign contributions that chip away at the amount of weight corporations and the very rich have to pull in keeping our services running, and codify completely unethical and unfair practices (like big banks borrowing at zero interest from us the taxpayers and then turning around and loaning it back to us with interest, hedge funds helping themselves to huge chunks of pensions and savings, corporations using tax shelter post office boxes to dodge taxes, etc.), you end up with a huge, dysfunctional imbalance.  This has to be corrected for our economy to function on a national and local level.  The middle class cannot be simultaneously squeezed and locked out and then expected to carry the weight of all the taxes the rich and the corporations aren't paying. 

 

The way I look at it is this: corporate taxes aren't a burden, they're a privilege.  This is a country that allowed those billionaires to achieve that degree of prosperity.  It is their duty to pull their weight.  If they don't like it, they can move to Zimbabwe and good f&&&ing riddance.  Entrepreneurs will take their place who practice a more local model.  That would be a healthy development.  Big corporations have had a free ride since Reagan came into office and stopped enforcing the Sherman Anti-Trust Act.  It's been a long accumulation of power and privilege since then.  That needs to be rolled back. 


You dont sell the highways, you lease them.

 

And I hear you about corporate taxes, but as I mentioned above ours here in Illinois were raised again in January along with a 66% increase in income tax rates.

 

We don't have very many options.

post #43 of 174

The Closer, ok, I'm reading articles now about the tax hike.  So, Illinois hadn't raised taxes since 1989?   So, even though it's a 66% rate hike, it's still nowhere near the highest in the country.  Here's a comparison chart:  http://www.taxadmin.org/fta/rate/ind_inc.pdf

 

Also, Illinois appears to have a flat rate for all income tax brackets.  How about creating a progressive model to not squeeze working people but target those who've been getting a free ride?

 

Also, I think cigarette and other sin taxes are fine.  We seem to have one every year here in California.

post #44 of 174
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Closer View Post

You dont sell the highways, you lease them.


The principal is the same. 

post #45 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by yt View Post

The Closer, ok, I'm reading articles now about the tax hike.  So, Illinois hadn't raised taxes since 1989?   So, even though it's a 66% rate hike, it's still nowhere near the highest in the country.  Here's a comparison chart:  http://www.taxadmin.org/fta/rate/ind_inc.pdf

 


Dont forget our sales tax is 11.5% currently as well.

post #46 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by yt View Post




The principal is the same. 



It's different in so many ways.  You renting out your house isnt remotely the same as you selling it.

 

If you're leasing out property you own, you are the one who sets the terms to be followed, and you have recourse if any of the terms are broken. 

 

 

 

post #47 of 174

A house isn't the same as a public road or highway either.  And I think you overstate the recourse the public has once a deal like this has been made.  It takes a lot of wherewithal to stand up for the citizens with private companies throwing money at you to do their will.  I think it's a slippery slope, and if you give an inch you've already lost. 

post #48 of 174

Just wondering, but how does the math work out for this to the benefit of the people?  A private company's only going to want to lease a highway if it can make a profit on it (higher than it would for the next best investment opportunity), even if there are terms that limit the rate it can charge.

 

What's the benefit to the public?  The government gets money now rather than what it could alternatively raise in taxes/bonds/etc. that take more time?  The government isn't actually making money, it's basically a loan.

 

And man, if all the highways in Los Angeles were privatized and made toll roads, it'd suck if you had to do the 110/105/405 or any combination of highways.

post #49 of 174

At this rate I'm expecting a Snow Crash kind of United Stated within about 30 years.  Maybe we'll get lucky and have that cool Matrix style internet to keep our minds off of things.

post #50 of 174
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by neoolong View Post

Just wondering, but how does the math work out for this to the benefit of the people?  A private company's only going to want to lease a highway if it can make a profit on it (higher than it would for the next best investment opportunity), even if there are terms that limit the rate it can charge.

 

What's the benefit to the public?  The government gets money now rather than what it could alternatively raise in taxes/bonds/etc. that take more time?  The government isn't actually making money, it's basically a loan.

 

And man, if all the highways in Los Angeles were privatized and made toll roads, it'd suck if you had to do the 110/105/405 or any combination of highways.

It's not only the revenue that a private company would be interested in, it's the relative security of the investment. 

 

The benefit for the people is two fold - they dont have to worry about the cost of upkeep (when was the last time a pothole on a public road was filled anywhere close to within 24 hours?) and, as you mentioned, the city gets a big wad of cash now that they can use to pay off high interest debt, balance their budget, etc.  I wouldnt necessarily call it a "loan" because if it were, the city would be paying interest.  In this case, not only is the city getting the money, but they are avoiding all the costs that usually associate with managing a road as well.
 

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