I don't want to clutter the Batman /. Supes thread, but Renn raised an interesting point. The success of Avengers is a pretty open question. Will it be considerable more successful than Iron Man 2 (the most successful of the lead ins)? Will it just barely beat it out? Will any thing short of what TDKR brings in be seen as a loss?
Here's what the lead in films made at the box office worldwide, courtesy of imdb.
Incredible Hulk - $254 million
Captain America - $285 million (and growing?)
Thor - $445 million (and growing?)
Iron Man - $572 million
Iron Man 2 - $616 million
(By comparison: The Dark Knight - $1,069 million)
So the range represented there is $254 - $616 million.
Based on nothing but our prior experience, and assuming a decent product what's the thinking here? (IM2 is the most successful to date and calling it "decent" is just about right)
My guess - $700 million worldwide to account for increased ticket prices and the 3D premium since IM2.