Part of me hopes that he'll one day get in (he's my favorite), but it honestly feels like so many of these inductions that aren't necessarily obvious, top-ballot, first year choices (Radiohead, Nirvana, Springsteen) are tied to a specific moment - see NWA and the release of Straight Outta Compton as the most recent example - in the re-evaluation of these artists' musical legacy. And the Hall has made a real push towards grunge and rap music - which is awesome, and long overdue. It also seems like the Hall is re-evaluating its racial and gender diversity, which I fully support. They also seem to be leaning towards artists who are still living, with a few exceptions here and there.
But WZ's my dude. It does feel that Zevon's moment has passed - there was a time in 2007, around the release of his biography (which admittedly painted him in a pretty honest, if stark, light) and then again briefly in 2013 around the 10th anniversary of his death - as we've gotten away from making sure the Hall has inducted all those 70s greats and more into the 80s and 90s. Maybe next year, around the 15th anniversary of his death (he would have been 70 this year), there'll be another big push. We'll see.
I've also been on the "Jim Steinman is due for reappraisal" train for a while. And the fact that Joy Division/New Order are not in - on influence alone - is baffling. I can see NO not really meshing with the clear, anti-electronic/dance music bias of some of the core board of voters, but that JD isn't in shocks me.
That being said, if Kate Bush gets in I will never complain about this again.
Anyway, here's the six I think will get in:
LL Cool J
Dire Straits, Link Wray, Cars, and Rage could all be swapped out for any of those - they'd be a narrow tier 2. I think Radiohead will take a lot of Rage's first year votes and Rage will get in next year.
But Radiohead and Bon Jovi are the only definite locks.
Originally Posted by Fat Elvis
How many years now since they made this a popularity contest? I don't get it. If it's a museum, the criterion should be a critical consensus, period.
It's a combination of taking what the public thinks and deciding among critics, inductees, executives, musicians, etc. The fact that inductees get a vote that is weighted is also what's led to a lot of some of the stranger choices over the years - white dudes voting for other white dudes. And a very vocal voice can often go a long way. Little Steven has made no bones about the fact that he's advocated for a lot of the British Invasion/garage rockers who have gotten in (and is probably pushing for Zombies* and Link Wray this year)
*Zombies are fucking great tho