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Originally Posted by Van Jones
Why is that, exactly? I mean, black people and women are able to vote, after all.
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Originally Posted by Van Jones
Why is that, exactly? I mean, black people and women are able to vote, after all.
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Originally Posted by Chris Wood
If you have a Clinton/Obama ticket, who's going to bring in the red states?
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Originally Posted by Van Jones
Why is that, exactly? I mean, black people and women are able to vote, after all. And Americans in general may find this ticket more appealing than whatever the Republican one turns out to be.
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Originally Posted by FrankCobretti
Gender and race are plusses for two reasons that'll help garner Republican votes: Clinton can sell her gender as a way for cultural conservatives to stick their thumbs in the eye of the Muslim world, and Obama can sell his race as a way for free-market conservatives to reinforce their belief in the American meritocracy.
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| I'm not saying that a Clinton/Obama ticket will sweep the country, but I think that it'd have enough juice to win. The real question is, who can the Republicans run who might beat them? |
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Originally Posted by DaveB
I think the problem is that, when it comes to women's issues, cultural conservatives are the closest thing we have in this country to Muslim fundamentalists (I realize the actual levels of oppression practiced are quite different, but the sentiment is still essentially "women are babymaking machines who should be in the home"). People tend to be myopic on social issues - they don't care what France thinks about our welfare policy or what Pakistan thinks about our abortion issues. I doubt that most social conservatives would view Hillary's gender as a poke at Muslim beliefs, but rather as a danger to the American and Christian status quo.
I agree that Obama might have some sort of appeal to idealistic free-market conservatives, as you mentioned, but, in my experience, the free-market conservative kneejerk reaction to any Democrat almost always manifests in a paralyzing fear of taxation. I think that (and subconcsious racism) might override any goodwill they might otherwise feel towards Obama on principle. |
| McCain. Conservatives like him, and there are still plenty of Democrats who (wrongly) continue to view him as a moderate who doesn't toe the party line and is willing to collaborate with the left. And he represents the status quo, something you can't underestimate when it comes to American politics. We say we want change, but the overly cautious middle always keeps that change from being too dramatic. |
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Originally Posted by General Zod
The thing is Americans are just as racist as they've always been, (At least in my part of the country) only now it's gone below the surface, thus is why Obama won't get elected to anything because most people are afraid and will stick by their mantra of "I won't vote for no nigger."
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Originally Posted by Van Jones
That may be true, but surely the people who think like that would be outnumbered by those who would vote for a black person, because he is black. Street-blocking tactics aside, of course.
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Originally Posted by Schwartz
I think you underestimate the amount of Southern and Midwestern states out there. Theres like 40 of them.
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Originally Posted by The Prankster
Well, that guy who was on Colbert the other day argued that the Dems don't need the South anymore.
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Originally Posted by Schwartz
I hope so too. But another thing you have to understand about racism is that it's not just the people who will flat out say "I won't vote for no nigger," there are 5 more who won't say it, but won't ever give their vote to a black candidate either.
Also, sure Obama will get some votes just because he's black, but how many of those votes weren't going to go to the Democratic candidate in any case? |
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Originally Posted by Chris Wood
Obama/Edwards would be a ticket much more to my liking, and I think would draw better across party lines.
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Originally Posted by The Prankster
By the way, to what degree do "People who are sufficiently racist not to vote for Obama just because he's black" and "people who bother to vote" overlap? Possibly not that much.
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Originally Posted by Chris Wood
Well, didn't the race card play a role in Harold Ford's defeat in the Tennessee Senate race last fall?
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Originally Posted by donde
Also the fact that the guy was Republican-lite so people didn't see too much of a reason to switch from the real thing.
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Originally Posted by jonvoight's car
Honestly, 2008 could very well come down to Florida and Ohio again.
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Originally Posted by Jared Melton
Isn't Florida a southern state?
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Originally Posted by General Zod
The country is so sick of Bush and his stubborn attitude towards Iraq and his fucking up of everything else, Oj Simpson and that creep who claimed to have killed Jon Bennet Ramsey could run as a ticket and win just fine.
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Originally Posted by The Prankster
By the way, to what degree do "People who are sufficiently racist not to vote for Obama just because he's black" and "people who bother to vote" overlap? Possibly not that much.
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Originally Posted by Greg Clark
Bush's approval rating in 2004 wasn't stellar, but it was still strong and he was still keeping all the plates spinning so people didn't know which side was up when it came to the truth about the Iraq war--which, at the time, was only year old. Also, the body count hadn't broken 1,000 dead. Add in the conviently timed capture of Saddam and you've got a majority of America who still thought we were fighting Al Qadea in Iraq, and we thwarted some master plan to plague us with WMDs.
Now more Americans have died in Iraq than on 9/11. The average joe has woken up to the fact that the administration has screwed up their forgien policy, and over 70% of the nation is aginst sending more troops. The pendelumn of public opinion has swayed to the other side of the pit, now the Dems just need the perfect candidate to close the deal. |
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Originally Posted by Chris Wood
Well, it was only by supreme incompetence that the Democrats managed to lose in 2004...
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Originally Posted by Slater
Are you kidding? Look how many conservative and swing voters were driven to the polls in the last election by something as trivial as gay marriage. Never underestimate the power of bigotry.
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Originally Posted by The Prankster
Homophobia is still sanctioned in some places, though. Particularly by the church. Racism isn't. People don't stand up and proudly vote against black people the way they do against gay marriage.
I'm sure Obama's race is a factor, don't get me wrong. But surely the people for whom the election's going to boil down to "white guy vs. black guy" aren't big on voting. |
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Originally Posted by yt
... aided by the GOP's friends at Diebold.
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| I'm sure Obama's race is a factor, don't get me wrong. But surely the people for whom the election's going to boil down to "white guy vs. black guy" aren't big on voting. |
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Originally Posted by Greg David
Jeff Greenfield needs to choke to death on semen.
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Originally Posted by Schwartz
Again, I hate to be relentlessly negative here but what it boils down to a majority of the time is that the people who proudly vote against gay marriage will be quietly voting against the black guy.
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Originally Posted by yt
... aided by the GOP's friends at Diebold.
![]() "someone has made a copy of the key which opens ALL Diebold e-voting machines from a picture on the company's own website. The working keys were confirmed by Princeton scientists, the same people who discovered that a simple virus hack on the Diebold machines could steal an election." Link: http://www.boingboing.net/2007/01/25...ing_machi.html |
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Originally Posted by DaveB
. And, for the record, even among whites, I think there are a lot more homophobes than the type* of racist who would deliberately vote against Obama based on race.
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Originally Posted by jonvoight's car
Well, if BoingBoing reader Sejin says it...
As for the Hillary-Obama contest, the media is absolutely in love with Obama right now. But a recent Time Magazine Poll gave Hillary a 19 point lead over Obama among registered Democrats. |