Quote:
Originally Posted by
The Dark Shape 
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 1 OD: $61 million
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 OD: $91 million
Only an eight month difference between releases, and all accounts are that Hallows 2's 3D share was quite low. Never underestimate the pull of 'the final chapter.'
(Another example of a finale bump would be Saw 3D's opening day of $10.7m handily beating Saw VI's $6.9m, but I'm not sure of the 3D share.)
Ahh, facts released in vacuums. How tantalizing and how deceptive.
HP7.1 - November
HP7.2 - July
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Sebastian OB 
TDRK is the movie event of the year. How it holds up in the long run box office wise is certainly in question; it may not get the kind of repeat viewing that AVENGERS is getting. But it's going to CRUSH the opening weekend. I expect all OW records to be broken.
It's your movie event of the year. But is it going to tap in to families the way Avengers did? Is it going to tap in to women the way Avengers did? And is it going to do both of those to such an extent that it will exceed Avengers ticket numbers by the amount necessary to beat the 3D bump?
Again:
Estimate of tickets for TDKR to pass Avengers: 29 million tickets
Avengers: 26 million tickets
TDK: 22 million tickets
It's possible, but I would be hesitant to throw around certainties.