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CHUD NUMBERS: Box Office Discussion Thread - Page 301

post #15001 of 23423

Actually, Jenny Havisham was in the news recently. She's the only person in the United Kingdom who hasn't seen Skyfall now.

post #15002 of 23423

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrSaxon View Post

Actually, Jenny Havisham was in the news recently. She's the only person in the United Kingdom who hasn't seen Skyfall now.

 

Well, her and little Petey Whittingham who's been stuck in a chimney in Bristol since 'aught six. Keep reachin' for the light, Petey!

post #15003 of 23423

Daniel Craig and Rachel Weisz = Brangelina, UK edition. Man, Daniel Craig has pretty much got to be in the running for dude getting the most out of life right now. 

post #15004 of 23423

When Daniel Craig eventually receives his Knighthood from the Queen, I hope that when she taps his shoulder with the sword, she whispers "Welcome to the layer cake, son".

post #15005 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arjen Rudd View Post

Daniel Craig and Rachel Weisz = Brangelina, UK edition. Man, Daniel Craig has pretty much got to be in the running for dude getting the most out of life right now. 

"Life is so fucking good I can taste it in my spit" - Daniel Craig's character from Layer Cake, and I'd imagine these days Craig himself too.
post #15006 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by Art Decade View Post

When Daniel Craig eventually receives his Knighthood from the Queen, I hope that when she taps his shoulder with the sword, she whispers "Welcome to the layer cake, son".


My God. This is my favorite CHUD comment of the day. Possibly the week. I'd totally give you two Rep points for this, if I could.

 

EDIT: I'm still laughing at this.

post #15007 of 23423

I see "The Hobbit" opening anywhere between 100-130 million myself and finishing between 300-350 million domestic. 1-1.1 billion worldwide sounds about right, i think some people may be overestimating this a bit too much to me .

post #15008 of 23423

Me thinks you're underestimating the popularity of the Lord of the Rings movies and even the book itself. The opening sounds about right but 300 M domestically is way too low. With the aforementioned love of the Rings trilogy, Christmas holidays, 3D bump and no other family fare competition, I think 400 M is the bottom for this.

post #15009 of 23423
I might be in the minority here, but I kind of really want Hobbit to flop domestically, so that way Jackson will go back to making more interesting films. I see it opening at 130 m though.
post #15010 of 23423
Do you think if it flops, he'll just stop and not finish the other two?
post #15011 of 23423

"Damn. That movie didn't do as well as I'd hoped. Hmmmm. What should I do with the remaining twelve hours of footage I've already filmed?"

 

*Empties into trash*

 

"Onward.... to Heavenly Creatures 2!"

post #15012 of 23423

The Hobbit will not flop. Don't be ridiculous.

post #15013 of 23423

The real question is will Jackson move forward with Tintin 2 in two or three years once he is done playing in Middle Earth?  He probably will.  The days of Jackson making small films are long behind him and aren't likely to return any time soon.

post #15014 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arjen Rudd View Post

Daniel Craig and Rachel Weisz = Brangelina, UK edition. Man, Daniel Craig has pretty much got to be in the running for dude getting the most out of life right now. 

 

The things he does for England...

post #15015 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by S.D. Bob Plissken View Post
The days of Jackson making small films are long behind him and aren't likely to return any time soon.

 

The Lovely Bones was a small film. Just not particularly any good.

post #15016 of 23423

The Lovely Bones was a strike film, and PJ held the studio hostage for something like a $90 million budget. And the money's onscreen.

 

This makes eight straight pricey films from Jackson. Dude has got blockbusters in his veins.

post #15017 of 23423

90 million cause of the afterlife scenes but the story itself is intimate and small (ala Heavenly Creatures).

post #15018 of 23423

It's meant to be, yes. And PJ took it... the other way.

 

That picture probably shouldn't have been a big CGI cumshot, but there you go.

post #15019 of 23423

In a just world Lynne Ramsay would be taking pictures away from Jackson, not vice versa.

post #15020 of 23423

They're both great filmmakers for different reasons and I'm sure a Lynne Ramsay version of Lovely Bones would be much better but I'm not sure I'd like to see a Lynne Ramsay version of Lord of the Rings.

 

AnyWHO, The Hobbit has the box office to itself next weekend. I'll predict 130-140 M for its opening.
 

post #15021 of 23423
But Lynne Ransey's Heavenly Creatures and Jackson's We Need To Talk About Kevin would both probably work.
post #15022 of 23423

I would want to see Lynne Ramsey's "Bad Taste."

post #15023 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by User_32 View Post

I like to imagine Craig crank calling Darren Aronofsky every once in a while to let him know who's the boss.

"Hey, Darren. Got anything I can be in, other than your ex?"

 

*click*

post #15024 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by User_32 View Post

Me thinks you're underestimating the popularity of the Lord of the Rings movies and even the book itself. The opening sounds about right but 300 M domestically is way too low. With the aforementioned love of the Rings trilogy, Christmas holidays, 3D bump and no other family fare competition, I think 400 M is the bottom for this.

Haha, i'm not underestimating "The Hobbit" at all, it will certainly do great buisness at the box office, no doubt in my mind about that. But 400 M domestic as the low estimate, now that's what i call overestimating my friend, but to each his own. Now if 400 m domestic is the worst number you see, what's the best number you see 500 M domestic.

post #15025 of 23423

What the hell is the next major movie coming out after the Hobbit that could challenge it? Django Unchained?

post #15026 of 23423

SKYFALL heading closer to the 1 Billion mark.

post #15027 of 23423
Wow, really weak weekend in general though. HA! Take THAT, Playing for Keeps!
post #15028 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by mcnooj82 View Post

Wow, really weak weekend in general though. HA! Take THAT, Playing for Keeps!

 

I had to Google that movie because I hadn't heard of it.

 

I want whoever is keeping Gerard Butler's career going to stand up so that I can shoot them in the face.

post #15029 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrSaxon View Post

 

I had to Google that movie because I hadn't heard of it.

 

I want whoever is keeping Gerard Butler's career going to stand up so that I can shoot them in the face.

 

It's the Gerard Butler Leprechaun, and he's got the drop on you.

 

 

 

"I needs me gold!"

post #15030 of 23423

Skyfall being at number 1 in its 5th week has to be the first time a movie's managed that in a while. Has anything done that since Avatar?

post #15031 of 23423
Dark Knight Rises maybe? Though I don't think TDKR did as well as TDK. Hype never seemed there to me.
post #15032 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by UrchineSLICE View Post

Dark Knight Rises maybe? Though I don't think TDKR did as well as TDK. Hype never seemed there to me.

 

uh, what? Hype was there, there was a certain tragic incident that hurt it at the US box office, but it did better than TDK in foreign markets. It still managed a slightly bigger opening weekend than TDK, so it's hard to argue one had more hype than the other, isn't it?

post #15033 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul C View Post

Skyfall being at number 1 in its 5th week has to be the first time a movie's managed that in a while. Has anything done that since Avatar?


Live Action? No.

 

Congrats to Skyfall on it's unprecedented success. For all the hullabaloo surrounding Spiderman, James Bond just shot past Peter Parker to be Sony's highest grossing film EVER!

post #15034 of 23423
People didn't seem to be going apeshit for TDKR like they were for TDK is what I was trying to get at. But yeah it did beat TDK in world wide box office so I guess that's what counts eh?
post #15035 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by UrchineSLICE View Post

People didn't seem to be going apeshit for TDKR like they were for TDK is what I was trying to get at. But yeah it did beat TDK in world wide box office so I guess that's what counts eh?

 

It counts more than your idea of how apeshit people went.

post #15036 of 23423

Ha, Megaman, so mean about nothing.

post #15037 of 23423

Dark Knight Rises obviously didn't have the zeitgeist quality of the last movie. OBVIOUSLY, Megaman.

post #15038 of 23423

MegaMan does not care about your human concerns.  He exists in a world of pure numbers!  "I am become math."

post #15039 of 23423

Damn, Killing Them Softly and The Collection are disappearing FAST.

post #15040 of 23423

So it's the eve of The Hobbit. Tracking has it headed for a 70+ M opening.

 

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/peter-jacksons-hobbit-tracking-70-400775

 

Any other predicts?

post #15041 of 23423
$90M ish.
post #15042 of 23423
Yeah, I bet just under 90.
post #15043 of 23423

Not sensing the anticipation here compared to any of the Lord of the Rings movies.

post #15044 of 23423

BOM is saying there's a lot of pessimism and so we can count out an opening north of 100 million, I certainly am not optimistic. They're still talking up the records it's sure to break but how big a deal is that when it's taking up more theater screens than any December movie ever?

post #15045 of 23423

$12.4M midnight.

post #15046 of 23423
Quite nice. ROTK made $8m. Midnights are bigger now, but The Hobbit doesn't have the hype of a final film and it's obviously dealing with softer reviews.

I'd say $85m is the floor this weekend.
post #15047 of 23423

105 million.

post #15048 of 23423
A big thing to remember is that December's opening weekend record still belongs to I Am Legend at $77.2m, so it's almost impossible to get the $150m-ish explosion we're used to in the summer.
post #15049 of 23423
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Dark Shape View Post

A big thing to remember is that December's opening weekend record still belongs to I Am Legend at $77.2m, so it's almost impossible to get the $150m-ish explosion we're used to in the summer.

 

The thing is, I went online to buy tickets to THE HOBBIT tomorrow.  At the theaters in the SW suburban area of the Twin Cities, it's almost completely sold out for tomorrow, and it's not much better for Sunday.  I think we're all lowballing it.

post #15050 of 23423

I wanted to bring up a point...

 

I know many people have talked about how studios are reluctant to feature all black or all-various minority casts for fear it won't make money. Granted, this remains true overseas, but is this still true over here? I'm just looking at the all-white (and VERY very white) "Playing The Field" just opened to about zero dollars (against no competition), but something like "Think Like A Man" did about $100 million in the spring (matched up against the heavily-white "Five Year Engagement").

 

My question is, is the best way to make money in Hollywood to include racially diverse casts, as many blockbusters tend to do lately? Or can you get away with an all-minority group? And unless it's a very very very specific blockbuster (hello, Hobbit!) can you really expect to make money with an entirely white cast in something that isn't already based on a mammoth name brand?

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